Millonarios vs Medellín prediction and H2H on February 16, 2025
Leo Peterson
Dailysports's expert
Translated by the editors
On February 16, 2025, in the capital of Colombia at the "El Campín" stadium, Millonarios will face Medellín in the 5th round of the Colombian Primera. I suggest betting on goals in this match.
Preview
The season in Colombia is just gaining momentum, and after three rounds, Millonarios has already collected 7 points, with two wins and one draw. The last match against Llaneros was intense — the team led, but after a red card early in the second half, they couldn't maintain the advantage, finishing the match in a 2-2 draw.
Discipline in the Colombian league deserves special attention — red cards are not uncommon. In just the third round, referees handed out 10 red cards, and in 8 of the 10 matches, at least one player was sent off.
As for Medellín, they also started strongly. After four rounds, they have 8 points, thanks to two wins and two draws. In their last match, Medellín was close to a home win over Unión Magdalena, but they ended up drawing 1-1. On the field, the home team looked much stronger, as evidenced by the xG statistics — 2.71 against 0.13 in their favor. However, they couldn't convert their dominant performance into goals.
Medellín also has its discipline issues. For instance, in the third round, during an away match against Envigado, they finished the game with only nine players.
Possible line-ups
- Millonarios: Montero, Banguero, Linas, Alfonso, Arias, Mantilla, Vega, Pereira, Córdoba, Castro, Silva
- Medellín: Aguirre, Chaverra, Mantilla, Londoño, García, Alvarado, Moreno, Rodallega, Sandoval, Fudrishevski, Berrío
Match facts
- In the last 6 home matches, Millonarios has failed to score only once.
- In their last 4 away matches, Medellín has scored in every game.
- In 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches between the teams, the "total over 2.5" bet has hit.
Head-to-Head
In the last five encounters between the teams, Millonarios has had the upper hand. They have won four times, while Medellín has only won once.
Prediction
If you're feeling adventurous, you could bet on a red card in this match, as both teams have serious discipline issues. However, we won’t take that risk and will go for a safer option — at least two goals in the match, with odds of 1.44.