Juventus vs Fiorentina: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 17.05.2026
One of the marquee clashes of Serie A's 37th matchday will take place on Sunday at the Juventus Stadium in Turin, where the hosts Juventus will welcome Fiorentina. Here’s my take on this crucial showdown: the home side are still fighting tooth and nail for a Champions League spot, while the visitors, having secured their Serie A status, can afford to play with freedom—potentially making them a tricky obstacle for the favorites.
Match preview
Juventus approach the season’s finish line with everything still in their own hands. Luciano Spalletti’s men are unbeaten in ten straight matches, but goalless draws with Milan and a 1-1 stalemate against Verona showed just how much the pressure of the Champions League chase is weighing on their performances. Their 1-0 win over Lecce, courtesy of an early strike from Dusan Vlahovic, was less about style and more about sheer necessity.
Spalletti switched from his usual three-center-back setup to a 4-2-3-1 in the last round - a move he may well repeat against Fiorentina. Vlahovic has emerged as the key attacking figure, finding the net against both Verona and Lecce, and essentially securing four vital points for the Bianconeri at a stage where every slip could cost them a top-four finish. That said, Juve’s home form has been far from perfect - just three wins in their last seven home games, including dropped points to Sassuolo, Verona, and Lazio.
Fiorentina, meanwhile, have officially ensured their Serie A survival, but Paolo Vanoli’s side have had an inconsistent run-in. After being knocked out of the Conference League, the Viola seemed to lose their spark, racking up three draws and suffering a heavy 0-4 defeat to Roma. The match against Genoa wasn’t a classic, but it did finally put the relegation question to rest.
The visitors can now play with more freedom - making them especially dangerous in this type of encounter. Moise Kean remains doubtful due to injury, but special motivation will be driving Nicolo Fagioli and Rolando Mandragora, both of whom have ties to Juventus and will be eager to make a statement in Turin. Fiorentina often play open football on the road: in 2026, only two of their seven away matches featured two or fewer goals, so don’t expect a cautious, cagey affair here.
Probable lineups
- Juventus: Di Gregorio, Cambiaso, Kelly, Bremer, Kalulu, Koopmeiners, Locatelli, Yildiz, McKennie, Conceiçao, Vlahovic.
- Fiorentina: De Gea, Dodo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Gosens, Mandragora, Fagioli, N'Dour, Harrison, Gudmundsson, Solomon.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Juventus are unbeaten in ten straight matches but have won just three of their last seven at home.
- Fiorentina have scored against Juventus in three of their last five head-to-head meetings.
- Juventus have beaten Fiorentina in four of their last five games in Turin, but only one of those wins came by a margin of two or more goals.
- Juventus have failed to score more than two goals in eight of their last nine home Serie A matches against Fiorentina.
- At least one team has failed to score in six of the last eight head-to-head meetings at Juventus' ground in Serie A.
- Fiorentina have won the corner count with a +4.5 handicap in 13 of their last 15 visits to Juventus in Serie A.
Prediction
Juventus remain the favorites here, with vastly higher stakes: wins over Fiorentina and Torino would guarantee them a Champions League berth. Vlahovic is hitting top gear, Spalletti has found a more direct attacking formula, and home advantage should spur the Bianconeri into an aggressive start. But this won’t be a walk in the park for the hosts. Fiorentina are capable of making life difficult for Juve and, with the pressure of survival lifted, could play with extra boldness - especially through their ex-Juventus midfielders looking to make a mark in Turin.
