Iraq vs South Korea prediction, H2H and probable lineups - June 5, 2025
One of the matches of the 9th round of World Cup 2026 qualifiers will take place this Thursday at the Basra International Stadium, where Iraq will host South Korea. I’m offering a pick on the outcome of this clash with an excellent value.
Match preview
Iraq enter the penultimate match of the third qualifying round amid inconsistent results and a recent managerial change. The defeat to Palestine (1-2) and a draw with Kuwait (2-2) in March have shaken the “Lions of Mesopotamia”, though they remain a force at home — eight points from four home fixtures reinforce their reputation as tough hosts.
Arnold, who previously managed Australia, has just taken the helm and is still imposing his order, but the team is going through a rough patch. Nevertheless, direct qualification for the tournament remains possible, and motivation for this home fixture against the group leaders will be sky-high.
South Korea had a mixed spring: three consecutive draws, including a slip-up at home against Jordan (1-1), sparked talk of a slump. Still, Paulo Bento’s squad are unbeaten in 12 matches and top Group B, three points ahead of Jordan.
The Koreans also lead the group in both goals scored (14) and defensive solidity (just 7 goals conceded). Despite rotation and some experimentation in recent rounds, South Korea's squad remains far deeper and nearly ten times more valuable than Iraq’s. Add to this their head-to-head confidence — three straight wins since November 2021 — and it’s clear who the favorites are in Basra.
Probable lineups
- Iraq: Hasan, Yahya, Sulaka, Fayez, Sadun, Doski, Shlemon, Al-Amari, Kadim, Baesh, Hussein
- South Korea: Cho, Seol, Cho, Kim, Lee, Hwang, Park, Lee, Lee, Son, Oh
Match facts and head-to-head
- South Korea have not lost to Iraq since 2007 and have won their last three meetings.
- Both teams have conceded 7 goals in this qualifying cycle — the best defensive record in Group B.
- South Korea are the highest-scoring team in their group with 14 goals.
Prediction
Despite Iraq’s strong home form, the class, squad depth, and structure of the South Korean side give the visitors the edge. Our pick for this match: “South Korea to win with a (0) handicap” at odds of 1.55.
