Inter vs Lazio prediction, H2H and probable lineups — May 18, 2025
On May 18, 2025, the Giuseppe Meazza in Milan will host a pivotal Serie A Matchday 37 clash between Inter and Lazio. Here’s my take on which side is worth backing.
Inter
The 2024/25 campaign could go down as one of Inter’s most successful in recent history. Under Simone Inzaghi, the Nerazzurri reached the Champions League final—a feat that seemed almost unthinkable just a few months ago. After a routine win over Feyenoord in the Round of 16, Inter overcame Bayern Munich, winning in Munich and drawing at home. In the semifinals, they toppled Barcelona. After a thrilling 3-3 draw in Catalonia, the teams repeated the result at the Giuseppe Meazza, sending the tie into extra time. Backed by an electric home crowd, Inter found the decisive goal and punched their ticket to the biggest club final in Europe.
In Serie A, Inter remain firmly in the title hunt, trailing Napoli by just a single point with two games to go. Although the odds of clinching the Scudetto aren’t in their favor, Inzaghi’s side must keep the pressure on the leaders until the very end.
The run-in is a demanding one: up next is Lazio, fighting for a European spot, followed by a tricky trip to a red-hot Como side led by Cesc Fàbregas. Napoli’s schedule looks more favorable—a visit to Parma and a home fixture against Cagliari. But even then, nothing is guaranteed. Case in point: Napoli’s recent shock 2-2 draw with Genoa in Naples, which has spiced up the title race even further.
Lazio
Lazio’s position in the table is anything but secure. The Biancocelesti sit fifth, level on points with Juventus in fourth. But if they finish tied, Juve will edge them out thanks to a superior head-to-head record. Lazio only managed a single point from their direct clashes, losing 0-1 in Turin in the first meeting.
Lazio started their Europa League campaign in style, topping their group. But in the knockout rounds, Maurizio Sarri’s men cleared just one hurdle—beating Czech side Viktoria Plzen on aggregate in the Round of 16. The dream ended in the quarterfinals, where they suffered a shock exit at home to Norwegian outfit Bodø/Glimt via a penalty shootout at the Stadio Olimpico.
Since Marco Baroni’s arrival, Lazio have impressed with their consistency, rarely suffering dips in form. However, as the season draws to a close, results take precedence over performances—and that’s where they’ve come up short lately. This showdown with Inter is absolutely crucial; anything less than three points could dash their Champions League hopes. The top of the table is incredibly tight: just five points separate fourth from ninth. Every point dropped could cost several places in the standings.
Probable lineups
- Inter: Sommer, Bisseck, Pavard, Bastoni, Dumfries, Barella, Çalhanoğlu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Martínez, Thuram
- Lazio: Mandas, Marušić, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Guendouzi, Rovella, Isaksen, Dele-Bashiru, Zaccagni, Castellanos
Match facts and H2H
- The sides have already met twice this season. In the first Serie A encounter, Inter humiliated Lazio 6-0 at the Stadio Olimpico. Their second meeting came in the Coppa Italia quarterfinals, where once again the Nerazzurri triumphed, winning 2-0 at home.
- Lazio are winless in their last six matches against Inter, with five Nerazzurri victories and one draw in that stretch.
- Inter, alongside Napoli, boast one of the league’s best home records. Lazio, meanwhile, are among Serie A’s top four away teams this season.
- Inter are the league’s highest-scoring side, having found the net 75 times.
- Interestingly, in Lazio’s last five away games, the "both teams to score" bet has never landed.
Prediction
Inter will be fully motivated for this one. Still in the title race, they’re hoping Napoli slip up in the final rounds. Their dominant H2H record against Lazio and the home advantage are major pluses. Taking all that into account, our pick is an Inter win at odds of 1.62.
