Raphael Durand
Dailysports's expert
One of the fixtures of Serie A’s 37th round will unfold this Saturday at the Artemio Franchi, where local side Genoa faces Atalanta. Here’s a value bet on goals in this intriguing clash with an attractive odds proposition.
Match preview
Last round, Genoa pulled off a pleasant surprise, battling to a high-scoring away draw against Napoli (2-2) and netting more than once for the first time in a long stretch. Still, the team’s overall form remains shaky—Genoa are winless in five Serie A games, with three of those ending in defeat. Despite these struggles, the Grifone have locked down 13th place with 40 points and have already secured their top-flight status for next season.
At home, Genoa look solid—across their last eight matches at their own ground, they've avoided defeat in six, claiming five wins and one draw. While their cautious style rarely produces goal-fests, Genoa know how to control the tempo in front of their fans. In the past 15 home games, they’ve scored more than once on just five occasions, underscoring their pragmatic, calculated approach.
Atalanta, meanwhile, continued their impressive run last round by edging direct rival Roma 2-1 at home, extending their unbeaten streak in the league to five matches. Gian Piero Gasperini’s men have been on fire—four wins and a draw, conceding just twice in that span. With 71 points, La Dea sit comfortably in third and have already booked their ticket to next season’s Champions League.
On the road, Atalanta have also shown remarkable consistency—only one loss in their last 15 Serie A away fixtures, with 11 wins and three draws. Known for their vibrant, attacking football, Atalanta have bagged 73 goals this season, making them the league’s second-most prolific side behind Inter. Gasperini’s philosophy continues to deliver both results and entertainment.
Probable lineups
- Genoa: Benjamin Siegrist – Stefano Sabelli, Johan Vásquez, Sebastián Otoa, Honest Ahanor – Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Júnior Messias, Vitinha – Andrea Pinamonti
- Atalanta: Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Raoul Bellanova, Odilon Kossounou – Marten de Roon, Éderson Lourenço, Mario Pašalić, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman
Match facts and head-to-head
- In the first half of the season, Atalanta routed their opponents 5-1
- The "Over 2.5 goals" bet landed in two of the last five meetings
- The "Both teams to score" bet paid off in two of the last five encounters
Prediction
Bookmakers are rightly favoring the visitors here, offering odds of around 1.83 for an Atalanta win. However, with both teams lacking real motivation, we don’t expect a goal-fest. Our pick: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.03.
