Gambia vs Kenya prediction, H2H and probable lineups - March 20, 2025
One of the matches in the fifth round of World Cup qualifiers will be played on Thursday in Bakau, where the Gambia national team will host Kenya. I suggest a bet on the number of goals in this match with good chances of winning.
Match preview
The quarterfinal breakthrough at the 2021 Africa Cup remains a bright memory for the Gambia national team. In the last continental championship, the "Scorpions" found themselves in a group with giants – Senegal, Cameroon, and Guinea – and failed to compete. Three consecutive defeats, zero points, and an early exit from the tournament.
The World Cup qualifying cycle is also not going well. In the first four rounds, the team suffered three defeats, and only in the third match did they manage to delight the fans – a home thrashing of the Seychelles (5:1) was the first and so far only bright spot. In the Africa Cup of Nations qualification, Gambia held on until the end, but a crucial slip in the final round – a home loss to Comoros (1:2) – dashed all hopes of reaching the finals.
The "Harambee Stars" started the 2026 World Cup qualifiers with a tough but unsuccessful away duel against Gabon (1:2). However, the team quickly recovered, gaining five points in the following matches. A victory over Seychelles and draws in battles with Burundi and Ivory Coast keep Kenya in fourth place in the group, leaving room for a fight for higher positions.
The Africa Cup of Nations qualification also started positively for the Kenyans. In the first round, they played a goalless draw with Zimbabwe, and in the second, they achieved a crucial away victory over Namibia (2:1). However, the clash with the group's main favorite – Cameroon – proved too much; two defeats without points complicated the task. In the end, Kenya's two remaining matches resulted in draws with Zimbabwe and Namibia, leaving the team without a ticket to the Africa Cup.
Probable lineups
- Gambia: Jallow; Sise, Gomez, Colley, Touray; Ceesay, Adams, Sawaneh, Jallow, Minteh; Barrow
- Kenya: Omondi, Nondi, Okumu, Ovino, Otieno, Akumu, Odada, Abuya, Onyango, Yanga, Avire
Match facts and head-to-head
- The teams have not played each other before
- The "Both teams to score" bet won in one of Gambia's last five matches
- The "Over 2.5 goals" option hit in one of Gambia's last five matches
Prediction
Bookmakers do not see a favorite here and offer roughly equal odds for a win. Considering the statistics of the recent matches of the national teams, we suggest taking "Under 2.0 total goals" with odds of 1.83.
