Dallas vs San Diego prediction, H2H and probable lineups – June 29, 2025
FC Dallas
San Diego FC
On Sunday, June 30, at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Dallas will host Western Conference leaders San Diego in another round of the MLS regular season. Here's my pick for the outcome of this showdown.
Match preview
The Texas club is having a tough season: inconsistent results and discipline issues are preventing them from even cracking the top nine. Under the guidance of Erik Quill, Dallas have won just 5 out of 18 matches and currently sit 10th in the conference, four points adrift of the playoff zone. Recent form is particularly worrying — just one win in eight matches across all competitions and only one in their last six MLS outings.
The 4-2 defeat to San Jose, which featured two red cards and a late collapse, was the culmination of this crisis. Dallas are at risk of losing their season entirely if they can't find a way to stabilize. Now they're up against the hottest team in the league, and without two suspended defenders, holding back the onslaught will be no easy task.
San Diego, meanwhile, are MLS debutants but have already exceeded all expectations — under Mikey Varas, the team tops the West and sits second in the overall MLS table. In 19 matches, they have 11 wins and only 5 defeats, confidently dispatching both mid-table sides and title contenders. Their 36 points are the ultimate proof of this project’s maturity in its very first year.
The visitors' form is impressive: three straight wins and just one loss in their last nine MLS games. The standout result remains their 5-0 demolition of Dallas in May — a display of absolute dominance. Milan Iloski is in scintillating form, scoring seven goals in his last three matches, while Dreyer and Maitan on the wings are a constant threat.
Probable lineups
- Dallas: Paes; Moore, Augusto, Abubakar, Farfan; Delgado, Lletget; Kamungo, Acosta, Pedrinho; Musa
- San Diego: Santos; Verhoeven, McVey, Pilcher, Bombino; Tverskov, Boateng, Valakari; Dreyer, Iloski, Maitan
Match facts and head-to-head
- San Diego have scored 38 goals in 19 matches — the second-best tally in MLS.
- Dallas have conceded 32 goals in 18 games, losing all balance between attack and defense.
- The first head-to-head meeting this season ended in a 5-0 rout for San Diego.
Prediction
These teams are in different weight classes — Dallas are fighting for survival, while San Diego look every bit the seasoned favorites. The visitors play with flair and aggression, and they're perfectly poised to exploit the hosts’ defensive frailties, especially with two defenders suspended. Given Iloski’s form and the team’s overall tempo, an away win looks inevitable. Our pick: San Diego to win at odds of 2.15.
