Leo Peterson
Dailysports's expert
Cruz Azul
Atletico de San Luis
On March 16, 2025, the 12th round of the Mexican Liga MX will feature a clash between Cruz Azul and Atletico San Luis at the iconic Azteca Stadium. I suggest betting on the home team's goals in this match.
Preview
Cruz Azul is confidently holding onto the upper part of the table, sitting in 5th place with 19 points. They trail the leader by 7 points, but the team is in excellent form, unbeaten in 7 consecutive matches across all competitions.
During the week, Cruz Azul had an important encounter in the CONCACAF Cup, where they convincingly defeated Seattle Sounders to advance to the quarter-finals. There, they face a much tougher challenge — a duel with the reigning Liga MX champion and one of the giants of Mexican football, Club America.
Cruz Azul has been particularly reliable at home — this season, they have not lost a single home game, securing 4 wins and 3 draws. However, an interesting fact: in the Mexican championship, they have yet to score more than two goals in a single match at their stadium.
Atletico San Luis has finally started showing signs of life. After a series of 6 consecutive defeats, the team has won two of their last three matches. These successes have slightly improved Atletico's position in the table — they now sit in 15th place with 9 points.
Away games remain a weak spot for Atletico San Luis. Their only away victory was at the start of the season, followed by four consecutive defeats. In all these matches, the team lost without a chance, and the goal difference of 2:10 clearly highlights serious defensive issues in away games.
Probable lineups
- Cruz Azul: Mier, Sanchez, Ditta, Lira, Rotondi, Orozco, Rivero, Rodriguez, Faravelli, Bogusz, Sepulveda
- Atletico San Luis: Lopez de Alba, Acosta, Dominguez, Aguila, Jan Philippe, Dourado, Macias, Victor, Lamonge, Sanabria, Leo Bonatini
Match facts and H2H
- Atletico San Luis faces serious defensive issues, conceding an average of two goals per match this season.
- Atletico San Luis is particularly vulnerable in away games. In three of their last four away matches, they conceded three goals.
- In five of the last six matches involving Cruz Azul, fewer than 2.5 goals were scored.
- In four out of five of Cruz Azul's home matches in the league, the "both teams to score" bet was successful.
- The head-to-head history at Cruz Azul's field clearly favors the hosts. In their last five home matches, they have claimed four victories, while San Luis has only one.
- In three of these encounters, Cruz Azul scored exactly three goals against Atletico San Luis.
Prediction
Cruz Azul is the clear favorite for this match. Bookmakers rate their victory at odds of 1.29. The team consistently performs well at home, while Atletico San Luis struggles on the road, especially in defense. We suggest not taking too much risk and betting on the home team to score at least two goals in the match at odds of 1.4.
