Chelsea vs PSG prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 13 July 2025
On July 13, 2025, the long-awaited FIFA Club World Cup final will see two European giants clash: Chelsea and Paris Saint-Germain. Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a look at the odds and pick a winner for this blockbuster showdown.
Chelsea
Chelsea have delivered an impressive season, firmly reestablishing themselves among Europe’s elite. The Blues finished fourth in the league, sealing a long-awaited return to the Champions League. Under Enzo Maresca, Chelsea have also shone at the Club World Cup. In the group stage, they opened with a confident win over Los Angeles, stumbled against Flamengo in their second match, but still advanced to the knockout rounds as group runners-up. The knockout stages saw Chelsea grow in confidence: they edged Benfica 4-1 in extra time in the quarterfinals, then dispatched two Brazilian clubs — Palmeiras 2-1 and Fluminense 2-0 — to reach the final.
This isn’t Chelsea’s first Club World Cup final — they captured the trophy back in 2021, albeit in a different tournament format, proving the squad has crucial big-match experience.
Head-to-head against Paris Saint-Germain, Chelsea have always put up a fierce fight. In 10 previous meetings, Chelsea have won twice, PSG three times, and five matches have ended in draws.
PSG
Under Luis Enrique, Paris Saint-Germain are enjoying arguably the best season in club history. The French powerhouse swept all domestic honors: they stormed to the Ligue 1 title well before the finish, lifted the Coupe de France, and then made history by crushing Inter Milan 5-0 in the Champions League final. PSG’s stunning form has carried over into the Club World Cup, where they have lived up to their billing as tournament favorites from the very first match.
After a dominant 4-0 opening win over Atletico Madrid and a surprise 0-1 loss to Botafogo, PSG swiftly returned to winning ways with a 2-0 victory against Seattle, then bulldozed their way through the knockout rounds: Inter Miami — 4-0, Bayern — 2-0, Real Madrid — 4-0. Their aggregate goal difference in the tournament — 16:1 — speaks volumes. PSG aren’t just winning; they are dominating, leaving opponents no chance. This final is a golden opportunity to cap a perfect season by clinching the club’s first ever Club World Cup title and sealing a campaign of absolute triumph.
Probable lineups
- Chelsea: Sánchez, Gusto, Adarabioyo, Chalobah, Cucurella, Fernández, Caicedo, Palmer, Nkunku, Neto, João Pedro.
- PSG: Donnarumma, Mendes, Beraldo, Marquinhos, Hakimi, Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves, Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, Doué.
Key facts and head-to-head
- Chelsea have won 7 of their last 9 matches.
- Chelsea have scored first in 8 of their last 9 games.
- PSG have won 10 of their last 11 games.
- PSG have scored first in 7 of their last 8 matches.
- PSG have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 8 head-to-heads.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these sides.
Chelsea vs PSG match prediction
We’re in for a thrilling final as Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea look to challenge the sensational PSG of Luis Enrique. The Blues have had a strong tournament, displaying maturity and balance, and won’t go down without a fight. But this Paris Saint-Germain side is in out-of-this-world form, sweeping aside every challenger. Ousmane Dembélé and company are driving the club toward yet another trophy, and a win here could put Dembélé firmly in the Ballon d’Or conversation. Chelsea can certainly put up a battle, but PSG are the undisputed favorites in this final. My pick for this match: PSG to win with a -1 handicap at odds of 2.08.
