Chapecoense have conceded 53 goals in 27 rounds: prediction for Vitória vs Chapecoense
The 29th-round Brazilian Championship match between Vitória and Chapecoense will take place on October 8 at the Manoel Barradas Stadium in Salvador. The hosts sit 13th with 33 points and maintain a four-point cushion over the relegation zone. Chapecoense are bottom, with 18 points from 27 matches.
- Читайте также: Corinthians have lost six league matches in a row: prediction for Internacional vs Corinthians
Vitória: strong home record and in-form Renê
In the last round, Vitória lost 1-3 at home to Cruzeiro, despite Renê putting his team ahead before the break. Prior to that, Jair Ventura’s side led Mirassol 2-0 but allowed their opponents to fight back and finished with a 2-2 draw. As a result, the team have dropped five points across the last two rounds after opening the scoring in both matches.
Renê is in excellent form and has scored in each of Vitória’s last three league matches, finding the net four times. Vitória’s home record remains significantly stronger than their away form: in their first 11 matches on home soil, the team collected 25 points. At the same time, they are still without an away win this season, making games at the Barradão especially important in the fight to stay in Serie A.
Chapecoense: bottom place and serious defensive problems
Chapecoense have collected just 18 points and remain at the foot of the table. In September, the team pulled off a surprise 2-1 away win over Corinthians, but then lost to Internacional and drew 1-1 with Atlético Mineiro. The victory over Corinthians remains the club’s only away success of the season.
The visitors’ main problem is their defense, having already conceded 53 goals in 27 rounds. Their attack has looked somewhat better — Chapecoense have scored 29 goals and found the net in each of their last three league matches. The first meeting between these teams this season ended in a 1-1 draw, with Vitória rescuing a point thanks to a stoppage-time penalty.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- Renê has scored in each of Vitória’s last three league matches.
- Chapecoense have conceded 53 goals in 27 Serie A rounds.
- The first meeting between these teams this season ended 1-1.
Home advantage could prove decisive: prediction for Vitória vs Chapecoense
Vitória look the stronger side, primarily thanks to their home record and Renê’s form. Despite their recent struggles to hold on to leads, the hosts regularly create chances at the Barradão and should be able to exploit their opponents’ defensive weaknesses. Against a team conceding almost two goals per game, Vitória have a good chance of scoring more than once.
Chapecoense can respond with a goal of their own, having scored in each of their last three league matches. However, just one away win all season and 53 goals conceded significantly reduce the visitors’ chances of a positive result. If Vitória maintain their usual home efficiency, they should claim all three points.
