Celta vs Sevilla: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 23.05.2026
One of the matches of La Liga’s 38th round will take place on Saturday at Balaídos Stadium in Vigo, where local side Celta host Sevilla. The Galicians have all but secured a Europa League spot, while the Andalusians have already clinched survival, but both teams have plenty of motivation to give it their all in the season finale.
Match preview
Celta approach the final round in a strong league position, but without complete peace of mind. They currently sit sixth and have their fate in their own hands: a draw against Sevilla will secure their Europa League spot. However, the closing stretch has been tough for the Celestes - after a crucial 1–0 away win over Atlético, they lost to Levante 2–3 and barely managed a 1–1 draw with Athletic. Against the Basques, their opponents created almost three expected goals (xG), but Celta once again showed rare efficiency, turning one of just two shots on target into a goal.
At home, the Galicians will want to end the season in style, especially with a festive atmosphere already being prepared at Balaídos. However, Celta’s home form has dipped this spring: just one win over Elche (3–1), along with one draw and five defeats, even though the fixture list wasn’t always daunting. Claudio Giráldez is expected to field his strongest lineup, with Iago Aspas - club icon and emotional leader - likely to start. Alongside him could be Williot Swedberg, who has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last four matches, consistently adding movement between the lines.
Sevilla have endured a season they’ll want to quickly analyze and move on from, but the most important task is done - their La Liga status is secure. Under Luis García, the Nervionenses pulled themselves out of danger by winning three of their last four crucial matches. The away win at Villarreal (3–2) was especially vital, as it convinced the squad they could escape the crisis. Their recent 0–1 home defeat to Real Madrid didn’t spoil the overall picture, as the strategic objective had already been achieved.
Nevertheless, the match in Vigo is anything but a formality for Sevilla. This summer, new ownership arrives, with Sergio Ramos involved, signaling an upcoming rebuild and a thorough assessment of everyone - from the coach to squad players. Luis García has done his job, but his future is far from certain, making this season’s finish an important bargaining chip. Marcão is back, young Nicolás Guillén could see minutes, and the team will play not just for points, but to stake their claim in the club’s new era.
Probable lineups
- Celta: Alonso, Lago, Rodriguez, Carreira, Moriba, Lopez, Rueda, Swedberg, Aspas, Jutglà.
- Sevilla: Vlachodimos, Carmona, Castrín, Salas, Suazo, Vargas, Agoumé, Gudelj, Joaquín, Adams, Maupay.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Since 2021, Sevilla have lost just once in five visits to Vigo and have found the net in each of their last six matches there.
The Vigo side have conceded 28 goals in 18 home matches - only Real Sociedad (31) have a worse home defensive record.
Celta are second-bottom in La Liga for home results with 20 points - only relegated Oviedo (19) are worse.
- Four of Celta’s last five matches have seen both teams score.
- Under Luis García, Sevilla have won three of their last four matches, securing their place in La Liga.
Prediction
Celta are favorites thanks to their league motivation, home advantage, and more cohesive structure, but their current form doesn’t allow for talk of an easy win. The squad is weary after a season with over 50 matches, and their spring performances at Balaídos have been too inconsistent to expect full control of the game.
Sevilla have already secured safety, but now is the time for players to prove themselves ahead of impending changes at the club. The Andalusians can play with more freedom than in the nerve-wracking relegation battles and have enough attacking quality to punish Celta for defensive lapses. The most logical scenario is a lively match with chances for both sides and a cautious balance by the final whistle.
