Can San Mamés expect another tight contest? Athletic Club vs Getafe prediction – 25.10.2026
On Sunday, October 25, 2026, Athletic Club will host Getafe at San Mamés in the tenth round of La Liga. Kickoff is scheduled for 14:00 local time. Both teams have struggled for consistency in the opening months of the season, and with important players unavailable on either side, this encounter could turn into a tense tactical battle rather than an attacking spectacle.
Athletic Club: Terzić needs a response after another setback
Athletic approach this fixture following a disappointing 3-1 defeat away to Levante on October 21. Edin Terzić's side conceded twice in quick succession after mistakes in possession, and although Álex Berenguer pulled a goal back from the penalty spot, they could not complete the comeback. The situation became even more difficult when Aymeric Laporte received a red card in the second half.
That dismissal means Laporte will be suspended for the meeting with Getafe. It is another headache for Terzić, who is already dealing with significant problems in attack.
Gorka Guruzeta has suffered a serious knee injury and is expected to miss the rest of the season, while Oihan Sancet remains sidelined with a calf problem. Nico Williams has made progress in his recovery from a thigh injury, but his readiness to play a significant role remains uncertain.
These absences place additional responsibility on Iñaki Williams, Berenguer, Robert Navarro and Maroan Sannadi. Athletic have shown that they can create pressure through possession and wide attacks, but converting that territorial advantage into goals has been a recurring problem.
Their home record is also far from convincing: just one victory, two draws and one defeat in four league matches at San Mamés. Against an opponent likely to defend deep, patience and efficiency will be crucial.
Getafe: fighting spirit at home, major problems on the road
Getafe arrive in Bilbao after a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano on October 19. José Bordalás's team had to play with ten men from the 28th minute following Djené Dakonam's dismissal, yet Martín Satriano managed to score an equaliser in the second half.
The result demonstrated the resilience that Bordalás demands from his players, but Djené's suspension creates an additional problem in defence. Christantus Uche is also out with a long-term knee injury, while Zaid Romero's fitness remains a concern.
Getafe's biggest weakness, however, has been their performances away from home. They have lost all four of their away league matches this season, scoring no goals and conceding eight. Their attacking production has been particularly disappointing, with the team averaging fewer than one goal per league game.
Bordalás is unlikely to abandon his familiar approach at San Mamés. Getafe should defend in a compact shape, contest second balls aggressively and look for opportunities through set pieces and direct attacks. Satriano and Enes Ünal offer options up front, but the visitors have not yet demonstrated that they can consistently create chances on the road.
Probable lineups
- Athletic Club: Unai Simón – Jesús Areso, Yeray Álvarez, Aitor Paredes, Yuri Berchiche – Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Beñat Gerenabarrena – Robert Navarro, Peio Canales, Álex Berenguer – Iñaki Williams.
- Getafe: David Soria – Dani Carvajal, Nemanja Gudelj, Jean Valou, Johan Mojica – Kiko Femenía, Mario Martín, Francho Serrano, Ramón Terrats – Martín Satriano, Enes Ünal.
Match facts and head-to-heads
- Getafe have lost all four away league matches this season without scoring a goal.
- Athletic have won only one of their four home league matches.
- Each of the last five meetings between these teams has produced fewer than three goals.
- Getafe won both encounters in the 2025/26 La Liga season, 1-0 away and 2-0 at home.
- Both teams will be without a defender suspended following a red card in their latest league match.
Prediction: another low-scoring battle looks likely
Athletic should have more possession and spend longer periods in the opposition half, especially with the support of the San Mamés crowd. However, their attacking problems cannot be ignored. Guruzeta's long-term absence, Sancet's injury and uncertainty over Nico Williams reduce the hosts' options in the final third.
Getafe are capable of making life uncomfortable for stronger opponents, but their away record offers very little encouragement. Four defeats without a single goal suggest that Bordalás's side will focus primarily on staying organised and avoiding unnecessary risks.
The recent head-to-head record reinforces this expectation. None of the last five meetings has featured more than two goals, and there is little evidence that either team is currently equipped to turn this encounter into an open contest.
Athletic have the greater potential to edge the match, but a narrow home victory or a draw looks more plausible than a convincing win. With both attacks facing difficulties and neither coach likely to take excessive risks, backing a limited number of goals appears the most reasonable option.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals.
