It will be difficult for the hosts to end their slump: Alavés vs Málaga prediction

Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga prediction Photo: laliga.com / Author unknown
LaLiga Spain (Round 10) 23 oct 2026, 15:00
- : -
Spain, Vitoria, Estadio Mendizorroza

The Matchday 10 La Liga clash between Alavés and Málaga will take place on October 23, 2026, at Mendizorroza Stadium. The hosts have collected 11 points and sit seventh, while the visitors are bottom of the table with four points. Despite the noticeable gap in the standings, Alavés' current form raises questions, while Málaga are gradually approaching the moment when they must end their winless run.

Alavés: a strong start has turned into a prolonged slump

Quique Sánchez Flores' side made an excellent start to the campaign, picking up 10 of their 11 points in the opening four rounds. However, their results then deteriorated sharply: Alavés have taken just one point from their last five matches, while their previous two games ended in 1-2 defeats to Atlético and Celta.

That said, the hosts have dangerous options in attack. Lucas Boyé has scored five goals in eight appearances this season, while Ángel Pérez is returning from suspension and has already provided three assists in eight rounds. But the team's overall trajectory remains worrying: their last victory came back in early September.

Málaga: bottom of the table, but still with a chance to pick up points

Juan Francisco Funes' side remain the only La Liga club without a win. After nine rounds, Málaga have four draws and five defeats, and in their latest match they suffered a heavy 2-5 loss to Real Sociedad. The visitors have scored just six goals and already conceded 18, one of the worst records in the league.

Nevertheless, Málaga do not look completely hopeless. They have drawn three times in their last six matches, including games against Celta and Espanyol. Adrián Niño has scored three goals in five appearances and remains their main attacking hope, while against an opponent also going through a serious slump, the visitors are capable of securing a result.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Alavés have collected just one point in their last five La Liga matches.
  • Málaga remain the only team in the league without a win.
  • The total has been under 3.5 goals in four of Alavés' last five home league matches
  • Alavés have averaged two goals per game in their five home matches in La Liga this season
  • Alavés have won only one of their last six away head-to-head meetings, while Málaga have beaten this opponent just once in their last six encounters overall.

Both teams are far from their best: Alavés vs Málaga prediction

Alavés are favorites thanks to home advantage and their higher position in the table, but their current form makes it impossible to speak of a clear edge. The team have lost confidence and are conceding decisive goals far too often in evenly balanced matches.

Málaga are also experiencing serious difficulties, but they regularly manage to grind out draws and could take advantage of the hosts' slump. Given the visitors' lack of attacking output and Alavés' inconsistency, the most logical scenario is a cautious game with few goals.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.74
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4.50
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