Can Norway Avenge Their Defeat to Wales? Norway vs Wales Prediction | November 14, 2026
On November 14, Norway will host Wales in the fifth round of the UEFA Nations League. Both teams have collected three points in Group 4 of League A and remain involved in the fight to avoid relegation. Norway will be looking to avenge their defeat in the reverse fixture and improve their position in the standings.
- Also read: Will Serbia pick up their first points? Prediction for the match against Germany on November 13
Norway
Norway have demonstrated their quality in recent years. They enjoyed an excellent World Cup qualifying campaign, finishing top of their group ahead of Italy. They also reached the quarter-finals of the World Cup, where their run ended with a defeat to England.
Norway previously won their League B group in the Nations League, finishing above Austria, Slovenia and Kazakhstan. However, their promotion to League A has proved much more challenging. They opened the current campaign with a 3-2 victory over Denmark but have since suffered three consecutive defeats, losing twice to Portugal and once to Wales, all by a 1-2 scoreline.
After four rounds, Norway sit bottom of the group with three points. Their attacking numbers remain encouraging, with six goals scored and 20 shots on target. They have also completed 1,684 passes, showing their ability to build attacks and maintain possession. However, their defensive record has been a significant problem. Eight goals conceded, 25 shots on target allowed and no clean sheets.
Norway's matches have also been consistently entertaining. They have scored and conceded in all four Nations League fixtures, with each game producing at least three goals. Their attacking potential is clear, but their defensive vulnerabilities have repeatedly prevented them from getting results.
- Possible Norway lineup: Nyland, Ryerson, Ajer, Heggem, Aursnes, Berge, Berg, Schjelderup, Odegaard, Nusa, Haaland.
Wales
Wales missed out on the World Cup after losing to Bosnia and Herzegovina in the play-off. Wales have also struggled to find consistency in the current campaign. They have lost three of their four matches, and their performances have been particularly disappointing in attack. The team have scored both of their goals in the match against Norway and failed to find the net in their other three Nations League fixtures. They have collected three points and currently occupy third place in the group.
The Welsh side have managed only 10 shots on target in the competition, considerably fewer than Norway's 20. Their 110 attacks and single assist also reflect their limited attacking output. Defensively, Wales have conceded five goals and allowed 16 shots on target, while their 12 goalkeeper saves show that opponents have regularly tested their defence.
Wales have nevertheless enjoyed recent success against Norway. They are unbeaten in their last four meetings, winning three and drawing once. They also claimed a 2-1 victory in the first match of the current Nations League campaign, giving them a psychological advantage ahead of this return fixture.
- Possible Wales lineup: Ward, Williams, Roberts, Davies, DaSilva, James, Ampadu, Johnson, Cullen, Ashford, Koumas.
Key Trends
- Norway have lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
- Both teams have scored in all 4 of Norway's Nations League matches.
- All 4 of Norway's Nations League matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- 9 of Norway's last 10 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Norway have conceded in 12 consecutive matches.
- Wales have conceded in 9 consecutive matches.
- Wales are unbeaten in their last 4 meetings with Norway, winning 3.
Prediction
Norway have shown considerably more attacking potential than Wales in the current Nations League campaign, scoring six goals compared with their opponents' two. Their ability to create attempts and maintain possession gives them opportunities to put pressure on the Welsh defence, although their own defensive problems remain difficult to overlook. Wales have struggled to produce goals consistently, but their recent head-to-head record against Norway offers encouragement. Both teams have reasons to pursue a positive result, while Norway's matches have regularly featured goals at both ends. Considering the hosts' attacking output and their ongoing defensive vulnerabilities, another high-scoring encounter is a realistic prospect. Recommended Bet: Over 3 Total Goals
