Will Serbia pick up their first points? Prediction for the match against Germany on November 13

Serbia vs Germany prediction Lars Baron/Getty Images
UEFA Nations League A (Round 5) 13 nov 2026, 14:45
- : -
International, Belgrade, Stadion Rajko Mitic

On Friday, November 13, 2026, Serbia will host Germany at Belgrade’s Rajko Mitić Stadium in matchday five of League A of the UEFA Nations League. The clash pits two sides in very different positions in the standings: the Balkan team are desperate to find a way to pick up their first points of the campaign and avoid automatic relegation, while the Die Mannschaft are aiming for an away win to keep their hopes of reaching the final four alive.

Serbia head into matchday five in a precarious position, sitting bottom of the group in fourth place without a single point. Veljko Paunović’s side are struggling at both ends of the pitch: they have conceded eight goals in four matches and lost 2-0 to Germany in the reverse fixture. Even so, the home support at Belgrade’s Rajko Mitić Stadium traditionally gives Serbia a huge emotional lift, spurring the Balkan side to bring physical intensity, win their battles and mark tightly as they look to contain their star-studded visitors.

Germany sit third in the group with five points, trailing the sides above them. Jürgen Klopp’s team have impressed with their control of possession and quick combinations in midfield, but they have not always been clinical enough when chances come their way in the second half. Early setbacks mean Germany must take the initiative in Belgrade, using their wingers’ pace and an aggressive counter-press to claim three crucial points.

The match is likely to be shaped by Germany’s overwhelming control of space. They will look to take charge of the ball from the opening minutes, raise the tempo and build quick combinations through the half-spaces. Serbia are expected to respond with a deep, well-organized block, crowding the area in front of their own penalty box and banking on aerial duels, occasional counterattacks and set pieces.

Prediction

I expect an entertaining, high-scoring match, with plenty of goals. My prediction: over 3 goals at 1.6

Prediction on game Total over 3
Odds: 1.6
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