Burnley vs Aston Villa: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 10.05.2026
One of the fixtures of Premier League Matchday 36 will take place on Sunday in Burnley, where the local side hosts Aston Villa at Turf Moor. The Clarets have already lost any hope of Premier League survival, while the Birmingham club, fresh off reaching the Europa League final, are still fighting to cement their place in the Champions League zone. That’s why this clash offers a tantalizing opportunity for a high-potential prediction.
Match preview
Burnley approach the tail end of the season in disarray: their hopes of survival are gone, and the sacking of Scott Parker seems more like a belated reaction than a genuine attempt to change the situation. After a 0-1 defeat to Manchester City, the club slipped fully into crisis mode, and Mike Jackson’s first game in charge ended in a hopeless 1-3 loss to Leeds.
The Clarets’ main issue is their near-total lack of attacking threat. Over the last seven rounds, Burnley have scored just three goals, and at home, fans at Turf Moor have endured three straight matches without seeing their team find the net - a deeply worrying backdrop ahead of a match against an opponent who punishes every lapse in concentration.
Aston Villa arrive in Burnley riding the momentum of a spectacular European night: Unai Emery’s side thrashed Nottingham Forest 4-0 to book their place in the Europa League final. That result is significant not just on its own - it restored Birmingham’s confidence after a rough patch and injected the squad with fresh energy ahead of the crucial final Premier League fixtures.
Domestically, Villa’s form has been less convincing: only two wins in their last nine league outings and points dropped in three of their last four matches mean Emery has to keep his side sharp until the very end. The schedule after Burnley gets even tougher - with Liverpool and Manchester City up next - so the visitors simply must take maximum points here, even accounting for a short turnaround and possible squad rotation.
Probable lineups
- Burnley: Dubravka, Hartman, Ekdal, Humphries, Esteve, Walker, Ward-Prowse, Laurent, Anthony, Tshauana, Flemming.
- Aston Villa: Martinez, Cash, Lindelöf, Mings, Maatsen, Bogarde, Tielemans, Barkley, Sancho, Rogers, Abraham.
Match facts & head-to-head
- Both teams have scored in 12 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings between Burnley and Aston Villa.
- Aston Villa have beaten Burnley in four of their last five encounters.
- Each of Aston Villa’s last four wins over Burnley have featured at least three goals.
Burnley have failed to score in four of their last five home matches.
- Burnley have conceded more goals than any other Premier League team (71 goals).
- Aston Villa have scored more than once in only one of their last eight Premier League away matches.
- Aston Villa have not won more than five corners in seven of their last eight Premier League away fixtures.
Prediction
Burnley look far more like a side resigned to relegation than one capable of a sudden revival under a caretaker manager. The return of some players from injury might add a bit of bench depth, but it doesn’t solve the fundamental issues: the team create little, struggle with tempo, and often unravel after the first real spell of pressure. Aston Villa may rotate after their European exploits, but even a slightly refreshed lineup should have enough attacking quality to break through the bottom side’s defense. Given Burnley’s current form, Villa’s motivation in the standings, and their favorable head-to-head record, an away win in an open, high-scoring encounter seems the logical pick.
