Parma vs Roma: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 10.05.2026

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Roma prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 36) 10 may 2026, 12:00
Finished
2 : 3
Italy, Parma, Stadio Ennio Tardini
Gabriel Strefezza
47'
Mandela Keita
87'
22' 90' + 11 (P)
Donyell Malen
90' + 4
Devyne Rensch

One of the matches of Serie A round 36 will take place on Sunday in Parma, where the local side hosts Roma at the Stadio Ennio Tardini. The hosts have already achieved their main objective for the season, while the Romans are still chasing a Champions League spot. This preview focuses on tournament motivation and the current form of both teams.

Match preview

Parma approaches the end of the season in a calm but not complacent mood: the team has mathematically secured Serie A safety and now plays for pride, for their coach, and for future roles within the squad. For Carlos Cuesta, these games are not a mere formality, but a test to see who is ready to stay and contribute to the project next season.

In the previous round, the Parmesan side fell 0-2 to Inter and barely threatened Yann Sommer’s goal, failing to register a single shot on target. But Cuesta’s Parma is not about flashy possession or a fireworks display of chances; their game is about patience, compactness, and making life tough for favorites. This approach has already earned them points against Napoli, Lazio, Milan, and Bologna. Notably, Parma has lost just once in their last five home matches.

Roma, on the other hand, enter this clash with a completely different energy: Gian Piero Gasperini’s men have picked up ten points in their last four league outings and are right back in the hunt for a Champions League place. The 4-0 demolition of Fiorentina wasn’t just a big win - it was a statement that the Giallorossi are ready to shift into top gear for the most crucial stretch of the season.

However, Roma’s away form remains a vulnerability. Defeats to Genoa, Udinese, and Como have shown that away from the Stadio Olimpico, the team often loses control and sometimes buckles under pressure. That makes the trip to Ennio Tardini a test not only of Roma’s quality but also of their character.

Probable lineups

  • Parma: Suzuki, Ndiaye, Troilo, Circati, Valeri, Del Prato, Keita, Nicolussi-Caviglia, Bernabé, Strefezza, Pellegrino.
  • Roma: Svilar, Mancini, N’Dicka, Hermoso Canseco, Celik, Kone, Cristante, Wesley, Dybala, Sule, Malen.

Match facts and head-to-head stats

  • Four of the last six meetings between Parma and Roma have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  • Four of the last six matches for both teams have ended without both sides scoring.
  • Parma lost 0-2 to Inter in the last round, while Roma arrive after thrashing Fiorentina 4-0.
  • At least 11 corners have been awarded in 7 of the last 9 head-to-head matches at Parma’s ground in Serie A.
  • At least 3 yellow cards have been shown in 10 of Parma’s last 11 home Serie A games and in 13 of Roma’s last 15 away Serie A matches.
  • Parma has covered the +1.5 handicap in 8 of their last 10 home head-to-heads with Roma in Serie A.

Prediction

Parma are capable of making the game tight and uncomfortable for the favorites, especially if they maintain compactness in the opening stages. The hosts won’t take risks unless necessary, and their main chance is to drag Roma into a slow tempo and force the visitors to feel the pressure of the league table. Still, Roma have more arguments in their favor right now: their form has improved, Dybala is close to returning to the starting lineup, and their Champions League motivation should outweigh any away-day doubts. I expect a careful, professional Roma victory without a rout—this is a match where a single quality attacking spell could decide everything.

Prediction on game Roma Win & Total under 4.5
Odds: 1.69
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