Barcelona — Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 3 March 2026
On March 3, 2026, in the second leg of the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey, Barcelona will host Atletico Madrid. The match is scheduled to kick off at 21:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Barcelona
Barcelona come into this match after an impressive 4-1 victory over a strong Villarreal side, with a hat-trick from Lamine Yamal. This marked their second consecutive win in La Liga, following two league defeats to Girona and a heavy 0-4 loss in the first leg of the cup against Atlético. Now Barcelona faces the challenging task of overturning that deficit.
In the La Liga, the team currently leads La Liga, boasting the best attack with 71 goals scored in 26 matches. In the Champions League, Barcelona continues their campaign and already knows their Round of 16 opponent: Newcastle United.
At home, Barcelona is very confident, with 15 consecutive wins across all competitions. They are also the current holders of the Copa del Rey. Regarding their head-to-head record against Atlético at home, Barcelona has 4 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss in the last 6 home matches.
Atletico Madrid
Atlético Madrid travels to Barcelona to defend their first-leg advantage and comes into this match as the clear favorite to progress to the final. The team is currently in excellent form, with three consecutive wins across all competitions: two in La Liga and one in the Champions League, where they defeated Club Brugge in the Round of 32 and will face Tottenham in the Round of 16.
In La Liga, Atlético is currently third, 13 points behind Barcelona. Looking at their away form, the team has been solid in recent matches, with only one loss, four draws, and six wins in their last 11 games across all competitions.
Regarding the Copa del Rey, Atlético has not won the tournament for a long time, with their last title coming in the 2012-2013 season, and they are eager to claim it again. In head-to-head matchups against Barcelona, Atlético has struggled in recent years, losing three of the last four encounters. However, their first-leg victory gives them a strong position heading into this match.
Probable Lineups
- Barcelona: Garcia, Kounde, Cubarsi, Araujo, Balde, Olmo, Pedri, Fermin Lopez, Raphinha, Ferran Torres, Lamine Yamal
- Atletico Madrid: Oblak, Ruggeri, Hancko, Pubill, Llorente, Lookman, Baena, Johnny, Simeone, Alvarez, Sorloth
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Barcelona have won their last 15 home matches.
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 4 matches.
- In 3 of Atletico Madrid’s last 4 matches, both teams scored.
- Barcelona have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.
- 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings have seen over 3.5 goals.
Barcelona — Atletico Madrid Prediction
We are in for a tense and exciting clash between two of the strongest teams in Spain and Europe. Atlético Madrid is the favorite to progress to the final, but Barcelona’s excellent home record and overall head-to-head statistics against Atlético make Barcelona the favorite for this match. Therefore, Barcelona will have no choice but to push forward and score as many goals as possible. Atlético, on the other hand, will likely take a more cautious approach, relying on their first-leg advantage and looking to catch their opponent on counterattacks. Considering this scenario, Barcelona is still favored in this matchup. They are expected to win, but will their victory be enough to secure a place in the final? Recommended bet: Barcelona to win — 1.51
