Azerbaijan haven't beaten Lithuania for 28 years: prediction for Azerbaijan — Lithuania
The UEFA Nations League match between Azerbaijan and Lithuania will take place in Baku on October 4. The teams will meet for the second time in less than a week, with their previous game ending in a 1-1 draw. Lithuania have collected four points from two matches, while Azerbaijan have two draws and two points.
Azerbaijan: eight Nations League matches without a win
Aykhan Abbasov's side began the current tournament with a 1-1 draw against Lithuania, before failing to beat Liechtenstein — 0-0. As a result, Azerbaijan's winless run in the Nations League has now stretched to eight matches.
The hosts have no major injury or squad concerns. Emin Mahmudov remains one of the team's key players after scoring 16 goals for the national side, while Mahir Emreli and Musa Gurbanli are also expected to lead the attack.
Lithuania: four points and a strong record against Azerbaijan
Lithuania opened the tournament with a 2-0 win over Liechtenstein, then shared the points with Azerbaijan in a 1-1 draw. In their next match, the team also comfortably defeated Andorra 3-0.
The Lithuanians have an additional psychological edge in the head-to-head record. After losing to Azerbaijan in the teams' first meeting in 1998, Lithuania have avoided defeat in their next three encounters — recording one win and two draws.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- Azerbaijan are winless in their last eight Nations League matches.
- Lithuania have not lost to Azerbaijan in their last three head-to-head meetings.
- The previous meeting between these national teams, less than a week ago, ended in a 1-1 draw.
The first meeting could provide a blueprint again: prediction for Azerbaijan — Lithuania
The teams showed just how evenly matched they are only recently: they exchanged goals quickly in Kaunas, after which the scoreline remained unchanged. There is little reason to expect one side to establish a decisive advantage this time either.
Azerbaijan will have home advantage, but their prolonged winless run in the tournament raises questions. Lithuania, meanwhile, have looked confident in this matchup and are perfectly capable of taking another point away from a game against a similarly matched opponent.
