Atlanta United vs New York City prediction: the visitors desperately need points

Atlanta United vs New York City FC prediction Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images
Atlanta United Atlanta United
MLS USA (Round 27) 26 sep 2026, 19:30
Finished
2 : 2
USA, Atlanta, Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York City FC New York City FC
Giuliano Galoppo
10'
Ajani Fortune
74'
5' (OG)
Matthew Edwards
57'
Andres Perea

Atlanta United and New York City will meet in an MLS regular-season clash at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

There is plenty at stake here: both teams are in the lower half of the Eastern Conference, making points especially valuable at this stage. After 26 matches, Atlanta have 26 points and sit 14th, while New York City have collected 32 points and occupy 10th place.

The hosts head into the game on the back of a 1-0 victory over the Portland Timbers. It was already United’s second consecutive match without conceding, which is particularly telling for a team with 14 defeats this season. Alexey Miranchuk remains the main attacking focal point, with the Russian contributing six goals and five assists. Miguel Almirón also plays a major role alongside him, while the attack was strengthened by Breel Embolo during the summer. Under Gerardo “Tata” Martino, the team most often lines up in a 4-3-3 formation.

City’s situation is more intriguing in terms of the playoff race. The New York side are 10th, and their main weapon this season has been Nicolás Fernández Mercau, who already has 15 goals to his name. However, the squad situation ahead of the meeting is far from ideal: Nico Cavallo, Malachi Jones, Alonso Martínez and Keaton Parks are all unavailable.
The head-to-head record also points toward goals. Last season, the teams traded impressive victories: Atlanta won 4-3 at home, before New York City took revenge with a 4-0 triumph. This will be the clubs’ 20th meeting overall, with City holding a slight edge in the head-to-head record.

So, an intriguing match awaits: Atlanta have finally tightened up defensively, while New York City continue to fight for a playoff spot. Given the history between these sides, this fixture rarely delivers a dull affair.

My prediction: both teams to score.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.44
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