Atalanta vs Inter preview, H2H and probable lineups - March 16, 2025

Leo Peterson Dailysports's expert Translated by the editors
Atalanta vs Inter prediction Photo: https://x.com/NCCALCIA
Serie A Italy (Round 29) 16 mar 2025, 15:45
Finished
0 : 2
Italy, Bergamo, New Balance Arena
54'
Carlos Augusto
87'
Lautaro Martinez

On March 16, 2025, the 29th round of the Italian Serie A will feature a match between local side Atalanta and Milan's Inter at the "Atleti Azzurri d'Italia" stadium in Bergamo. I propose a handicap bet on one of the teams.

Preview

This is undoubtedly the central match of the 29th round, and possibly the entire second half of the Serie A season. Atalanta trails Inter by just three points, and a victory in this encounter could open the path for the Bergamo side to challenge for the Scudetto.

Gian Piero Gasperini's team approaches the game in high spirits after a resounding 4-0 victory over Juventus in Turin. However, while Atalanta looks formidable on the road, their home form leaves much to be desired. In the last eight matches at home across all competitions, they've secured only one win, with four draws and three losses — far from championship form.

Inter, on the other hand, secured their place in the Champions League quarter-finals midweek by defeating Feyenoord again (2-1). Simone Inzaghi rotated his squad, giving rest to key players, which could benefit the Milan side in the upcoming match.

The "Nerazzurri" are in impressive form: five wins and one draw in their last six matches. However, their away performances in the league raise questions. Four consecutive away matches without a win, including defeats to Fiorentina and Juventus, as well as draws with Milan and Napoli, indicate that Inter struggles on the road.

Probable lineups

  • Atalanta: Carnesecchi, Kolasinac, Højlund, Djimsiti, Zappacosta, Éderson, De Roon, Bellanova, Lookman, Retegui, De Ketelaere
  • Inter: Sommer, Acerbi, De Vrij, Pavard, Bastoni, Dumfries, Barella, Zielinski, Çalhanoğlu, Thuram, Martinez

Match facts and H2H

  • Atalanta showcases defensive reliability. Gian Piero Gasperini's team hasn't conceded in three consecutive matches.
  • The "Nerazzurri" continue to demonstrate their attacking prowess. In three of their last four matches, the Milan side has consistently scored at least two goals.
  • Both teams are the top scorers in Serie A, each with 63 goals.
  • Head-to-head encounters clearly favor Inter. The Milan side has defeated Atalanta in seven consecutive matches.
  • The last time Atalanta beat Inter was back in 2018.
  • In the last five matches in Bergamo, Inter claimed three victories, with the teams drawing twice.

Prediction

A game that will undoubtedly impact the Scudetto race. Inter struggles in away matches, but Atalanta cannot boast of reliability on their home turf either. The head-to-head history favors Inter, and the Milan club has repeatedly shown its ability to step up in crucial moments of the season, which cannot be said for the Bergamo side. Just recall their recent Champions League exit at the hands of modest Club Brugge. In such a scenario, betting on "Inter not to lose" at odds of 1.54 seems the optimal choice.

Prediction on game Inter wont lose
Odds: 1.54
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