Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

Bournemouth

EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) (Round 4) 28 oct 2026, 15:45

- : -

England, Bournemouth, Vitality Stadium

Aston Villa

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Odds

Bookmaker Bonus Movement

1 X 2

Best odds

2.21

3.60

3.25

1xBet

2.21 3.58 3.25

Betwinner

2.17 3.60 3.24

Mostbet

2.09 3.45 3.11

Highest

2.21

3.60

3.25

Average

2.16

3.54

3.20

Lowest odds

2.09

3.45

3.11

1X2 prediction for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa match

Date and time 28.10.26 15:45

Match

Bournemouth -

Aston Villa -

1X2 1 2.21 43% O/U O 1.5 1.18 78% DC 1/2 1.32 73% BTTS Yes 1.57 59%

Prediction TO 1.5 1.18

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Total games 10

100% More 0.5 goals 90%

90% More 1.5 goals 70%

70% More 2.5 goals 70%

40% More 3.5 goals 60%

10% More 4.5 goals 30%

40% More 1.5 goals in 1st period 50%

40% Percent scored in both periods 40%

30% Percent conceded in both periods 20%

60% Total % 50%

40% Last 5 60%

33% Home BTTS % 50%

100% Away BTTS % 50%

50% More 2.5 goals 50%

20% BTTS first period 30%

10% BTTS and Win 30%

20% BTTS and Lose 10%

30% Won-To-Nil 20%

10% Lost-To-Nil 20%

0% Scoreless 10%

50% Over 9.5 30%

30% Over 10.5 30%

20% Over 11.5 20%

20% Over 12.5 10%

10% Over 13.5 10%

100% Over 2.5 80%

80% Over 3.5 70%

70% Over 4.5 60%

40% Over 5.5 60%

0% Over 6.5 30%

10 Ryan Christie

Bournemouth Midfielder

EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) 2026/2027

18 Tammy Abraham

Aston Villa Forward

1 Matches 1

3 Goals 2

0 Penalty Goals 0

3 Goals Per 90 min 2.61

30 Min Per Goal 35

Head to Head Bournemouth - Aston Villa

In the last 5 H2H encounters, Aston Villa holds an edge — 3 wins versus 0 for Bournemouth, and 2 draws. This head-to-head comparison reflects a slight but noticeable advantage for Aston Villa in recent direct meetings.

0% W - 0

40% D - 2

60% W - 3

07 feb 2026 10:00

English Premier League

Bournemouth Aston Villa

xG 2.1 Score 1 % 64%

0.5 1 69%

09 nov 2025 09:00

English Premier League

Aston Villa Bournemouth

xG 1.7 Score 4 % 59%

1.8 0 36%

10 may 2025 12:30

English Premier League

Bournemouth Aston Villa

xG 1.1 Score 0 % 48%

0.9 1 95%

26 oct 2024 10:00

English Premier League

Aston Villa Bournemouth

xG 2.0 Score 1 % 67%

0.8 1 87%

21 apr 2024 10:00

English Premier League

Aston Villa Bournemouth

xG 2.4 Score 3 % 88%

1.8 1 71%

Total percentage of xG honesty 68%

Over 0.5

5/5 matches

100%

Over 1.5

4/5 matches

80%

Over 2.5

2/5 matches

40%

BTTS

3/5 matches

60%

Team Over 0.5

Bournemouth

60%

Team Over 0.5

Aston Villa

100%

Last matches Bournemouth

Bournemouth has secured 3 wins in the last 5 matches, along with 0 draws and 2 losses. The current form appears inconsistent — the team scores an average of 1.6 goals per game. The analysis suggests potential, but more consistency is needed.

60% W - 3

0% D - 0

40% L - 2

18 oct 2026 09:00

English Premier League

Bournemouth Sunderland

xG 4.4 Score 2 % 62%

0.2 0 86%

15 oct 2026 15:00

Europa League

Bournemouth Sturm Graz

xG 0.0 Score 3 % 0%

0.0 0 100%

10 oct 2026 10:00

English Premier League

Chelsea Bournemouth

xG 1.0 Score 5 % 34%

1.5 1 82%

20 sep 2026 09:00

English Premier League

Bournemouth Liverpool

xG 0.9 Score 0 % 54%

1.4 1 83%

17 sep 2026 15:00

Europa League

Real Sociedad Bournemouth

xG 0.0 Score 1 % 0%

0.0 2 0%

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals per game

1.6

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS

40%

Last matches Aston Villa

In the last 5 matches, Aston Villa recorded an average xG of 1.52, confirming their ability to create scoring chances. Although not every opportunity ends in a goal, the attacking performance is clearly visible in their recent form and competitive record.

80% W - 4

20% D - 1

0% L - 0

17 oct 2026 12:30

English Premier League

Newcastle Aston Villa

xG 1.5 Score 0 % 40%

1.2 1 91%

14 oct 2026 15:00

Champions League

Aston Villa Fenerbahce

xG 2.9 Score 6 % 65%

1.7 0 37%

10 oct 2026 10:00

English Premier League

Aston Villa Brentford

xG 1.9 Score 2 % 97%

0.9 2 64%

02 oct 2026 14:30

Club Friendlies

Sevilla Aston Villa

Score 1

19 sep 2026 07:30

English Premier League

Tottenham Aston Villa

xG 2.0 Score 2 % 99%

1.6 3 69%

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals per game

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS

60%

Tournament grid

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford 0

Bradford 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 1 4

Notts Co. 1 3

Watford 1

Crawley 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Barnsley 1 6

Wigan 1 5

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

Fleetwood 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford City 1 3

Shrewsbury 1 4

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield United 3

Ipswich

Bye

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

Arsenal

Bye

Manchester City

Bye

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Manchester United

Bye

Brighton

Bye

Sunderland

Bye

Stoke 2

Oldham 0

Hull

Bye

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1 4

Reading 1 5

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

Brentford

Bye

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Fulham

Bye

AFC Wimbledon 1 5

Newport 1 4

Crystal Palace

Bye

Stockport County 1 4

Doncaster 1 5

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Bournemouth

Bye

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

Coventry

Bye

Aston Villa

Bye

Liverpool

Bye

Tottenham

Bye

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Chelsea

Bye

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Nottingham Forest

Bye

Leeds

Bye

Preston 1 4

Huddersfield 1 3

Everton

Bye

Sheffield Wednesday 1

Bolton 0

Wolverhampton 3

Port Vale 0

Cambridge U 2

Barnet 1

Queens Park Rangers 1 0

Millwall 1 2

Newcastle

Bye

Rotherham 1

West Bromwich 4

Walsall 0 5

Leyton Orient 0 6

Bradford 0 4

Burnley 0 2

Watford 1

Peterborough 5

Barnsley 3

Crewe 2

Fleetwood 4

Shrewsbury 0

Blackburn 1

Sheffield United 2

Ipswich 3

Leicester 1

Arsenal

Bye

Manchester City

Bye

Cardiff 1

Norwich 2

Manchester United

Bye

Brighton

Bye

Sunderland

Bye

Stoke 1 4

Hull 1 5

Stevenage 0

Reading 3

Birmingham 1

Brentford 6

Southampton 1

West Ham 4

Fulham 3

AFC Wimbledon 0

Crystal Palace

Bye

Doncaster 1

Middlesbrough 3

Bournemouth

Bye

Blackpool 1

Lincoln City 4

Plymouth 2

Coventry 4

Aston Villa

Bye

Liverpool

Bye

Tottenham 5

Charlton 1

Chelsea 2

Luton 0

Nottingham Forest 0

Leeds 2

Preston 0

Everton 4

Sheffield Wednesday 0

Wolverhampton 2

Cambridge U 0

Millwall 1

Newcastle 3

West Bromwich 2

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford 3

Peterborough 3 7

Barnsley 3 6

Fleetwood 1

Sheffield United 0

Ipswich 2

Arsenal 4

Manchester City 5

Norwich 0

Manchester United 2

Brighton 3

Sunderland 1

Hull 0

Reading 1

Brentford 2

West Ham 2

Fulham 3

Crystal Palace 3

Middlesbrough 0

Bournemouth 4

Lincoln City 0

Coventry 1

Aston Villa 3

Liverpool 3

Tottenham 1

Chelsea 6

Leeds 3

Everton 1

Wolverhampton 0

Millwall 0

Newcastle 1

Bradford

Peterborough

Fleetwood

Arsenal

Manchester City

Brighton

Sunderland

Brentford

Fulham

Crystal Palace

Bournemouth

Aston Villa

Liverpool

Chelsea

Everton

Newcastle

Average stats for current league & season

Home

Away

Goals scored

Missed Goals

First goal time

First Missed Goal Time

Yellow cards

Substitutions

Largest win

4:0

Goals scored

Missed Goals

First goal time

First Missed Goal Time

Yellow cards

Substitutions

Largest win

1:3

1 Matches played 1

1 Matches Won Home 0

0 Matches Won Away 1

4 Goals Scored 3

68 Ball Possession 57

14 Shots Off Target 3

8 Shots On Target 9

10 Corner Kicks 9

1 Offsides 1

0 Goals Conceded 1

2 Yellow Cards 3

1 Total Clean Sheets 0

Bournemouth Players Stats

№	Player	Games	Min	St	So	Si	G (P)	YC	RC
29	Daniel Jebbison	1	12	0	0	1	0 (0)	0	0
19	Justin Kluivert	1	62	1	1	0	0 (0)	1	0
10	Ryan Christie	1	90	1	0	0	3 (0)	0	0
16	Marcus Tavernier	1	12	0	0	1	0 (0)	0	0
7	David Brooks	1	78	1	1	0	0 (0)	0	0
5	James Hill	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
18	Bafode Diakite	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
4	Lewis Cook	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
11	Ben Gannon-Doak	1	78	1	1	0	0 (0)	0	0
20	Michele Di Gregorio	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
24	Juanlu Sanchez	1	8	0	0	1	0 (0)	0	0
14	Antonio Silva	1	82	1	1	0	0 (0)	1	0
30	Alvaro Rodriguez	1	78	1	1	0	0 (0)	0	0
6	Julio Soler	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
27	Alex Toth	1	28	0	0	1	0 (0)	0	0
37	Rayan	1	12	0	0	1	1 (0)	0	0

St So Si

Total starts Substituted out Substituted in

G (P)

Goals (penalty)

YC RC

Yellow cards Red cards

Aston Villa Players Stats

№	Player	Games	Min	St	So	Si	G (P)	YC	RC
18	Tammy Abraham	1	69	1	1	0	2 (0)	0	0
7	John McGinn	1	64	1	1	0	0 (0)	0	0
10	Emiliano Buendia	1	26	0	0	1	0 (0)	1	0
29	Aaron Wan-Bissaka	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	1	0
4	Taylor Harwood-Bellis	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
40	Marco Bizot	1	46	1	1	0	0 (0)	0	0
13	Matteo Ruggeri	1	90	1	0	0	0 (0)	0	0
11	Nicolas Jackson	1	21	0	0	1	0 (0)	0	0
1	Zion Suzuki	1	44	0	0	1	0 (0)	0	0
44	Johan Manzambi	1	26	0	0	1	0 (0)	0	0
19	Ibrahim Mbaye	1	64	1	1	0	0 (0)	0	0
53	George Hemmings	1	79	1	1	0	0 (0)	0	0
47	Alysson Edward	1	11	0	0	1	0 (0)	0	0