Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 7 February 2026
One of the matches of the 21st round of the German championship will take place on Saturday at the Volkswagen Arena, where local side Wolfsburg will host Borussia Dortmund. The hosts are fighting for survival, while the visitors have found their rhythm and are looking to keep the title race alive. Here’s my pick for the outcome of this clash.
Match preview
Wolfsburg once again find themselves in a precarious position in the standings, coming into this round dangerously close to the relegation zone. Two consecutive defeats to direct rivals have erased the modest progress made at the end of last year and ramped up the pressure on Daniel Bauer’s side. Defensive errors and instability during key phases of matches remain the team’s main problems.
The squad situation makes things even tougher for the Wolves. Three central defenders are unavailable, as well as Joakim Mæhle and Rogerio, forcing the coaching staff to look for unconventional solutions – likely giving a starting spot to newcomer Jonas Adjetey. Add to that a poor track record against Borussia, and the psychological factor certainly isn’t on the hosts’ side.
Borussia head to Wolfsburg in excellent form. Their Bundesliga winning streak has allowed Dortmund to close the gap on Bayern and inject new intrigue into the title race. With no European fixtures this week, Niko Kovac’s men can focus entirely on the league.
The visitors do have some personnel issues, particularly in defense, where Emre Can and Filippo Mane are both out, and in midfield with Marcel Sabitzer sidelined through injury. Nevertheless, Borussia’s attacking potential looks formidable: Serhou Guirassy has rediscovered his scoring touch, and the variety of players capable of finishing attacks reduces their reliance on a single forward.
Probable line-ups
- Wolfsburg: Grabara, Adjetey, Vavro, Gerhardt, Fischer, Arnold, Souza, Wimmer, Maier, Eriksen, Pejcinovic.
- Borussia Dortmund: Kobel, Couto, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson, Adeyemi, Brandt, Guirassy.
Match facts and head-to-head
- In six of the last eight head-to-head meetings between Wolfsburg and Borussia, only one team found the net.
- In ten of the last fourteen Bundesliga clashes, Dortmund have scored at least two goals against Wolfsburg.
- Wolfsburg’s last win over Borussia in regulation time dates back to 2022.
Prediction
The current balance of power is clearly in favor of the visitors. Borussia are on a roll, clinical in front of goal, and look far more stable, while Wolfsburg are weakened by absences and under the psychological strain of their league position. Even with home support, it will be extremely tough for the Wolves to contain Dortmund’s attacking firepower, so a confident away win is expected.
