Will Crystal Palace live up to their status as favorites against the Championship club? Prediction for the Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough League Cup

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough prediction Photo by James Fearn/Getty Images
EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) (Round 3) 08 sep 2026, 14:45
Finished
3 : 0
England, London, Selhurst Park
Joergen Strand Larsen
37' 53'
Daichi Kamada
72'

On Tuesday, 8 September 2026, at 20:45 CET (19:45 BST), Selhurst Park in South London will host round 3 action in the English League Cup (Carabao Cup) 2026/27 season, with Premier League side Crystal Palace welcoming Championship high-fliers Middlesbrough. The winner of this single-leg encounter will punch their ticket to the round of 16.

Crystal Palace lifted a massive psychological burden at the weekend courtesy of a 3–2 away derby win over Fulham, where an unlikely brace from Tyrick Mitchell spearheaded the victory. Prior to that, the Eagles had suffered consecutive defeats against Premier League heavyweights, but their attacking firepower remains undeniable.

In the Carabao Cup, the coaching staff are set to rotate: Jørgen Strand Larsen, Cheick Doucouré, Will Hughes, Ben Chilwell, and Walter Benítez in goal are all in line to start. Even with knocks sidelining Eddie Nketiah and Mitchell, the Londoners' depth is packed with top-flight quality capable of overwhelming lower-tier opposition through pace and tactical discipline.

Middlesbrough have enjoyed a stellar start to the campaign under Kim Hellberg: Boro have won five of their seven competitive fixtures across all competitions, sit among the Championship front-runners, and eliminated Doncaster (3–1) in the previous round. The Teessiders have already racked up 12 goals, showcasing clinical edge in the final third.

In London, Hellberg will field a mixed side, giving starting opportunities to Luke Ayling, Alfie Jones, Neto Borges, and Leo Castledine. Middlesbrough excel at punishing errors during build-up transitions, meaning they will not settle for a backs-to-the-wall defence at Selhurst Park.

Both sides favour a flexible 3-4-2-1 setup. Crystal Palace will look to seize territorial control and dominate possession (around 55–58%), overloading the flanks through Chilwell and Anan Khalaili. Middlesbrough will remain compact, looking to exploit the open half-spaces on the counter.

Head-to-Head History

The clubs have met 15 times in modern history, with parity reigning supreme: six wins for Crystal Palace, three draws, and six victories for Middlesbrough. Their previous cup clash occurred in October 2018 in the Carabao Cup round of 16, when Middlesbrough claimed a narrow 1–0 home victory. Prior to that in the Premier League, Palace had recorded back-to-back wins over Boro (1–0 and 2–1).

What to bet on in this fixture?

Middlesbrough have found the net in the vast majority of their games this season, while Palace's reshuffled backline has shown vulnerabilities and conceded in every Premier League outing so far. My prediction: Both Teams to Score – Yes.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.61
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