Who will reach the World Cup semi-finals? Prediction: Argentina vs Switzerland – July 12, 2026

Argentina vs Switzerland prediction Getty
World Cup (Round Quarter Finals) 11 july 2026, 21:00
Finished
3 : 1
International, Kansas City, GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Alexis Mac Allister
10'
Julian Alvarez
112'
Lautaro Martinez
120' + 1
67'
Dan Ndoye

In the early hours of Sunday, July 12, Argentina and Switzerland will meet in the quarter-finals of the 2026 World Cup. Kick-off is scheduled for 03:00 CET, and here's my betting pick for the match.

Argentina vs Switzerland: Match preview

Argentina are the reigning world champions and are determined to add another title to their collection. A few years ago they lifted the Copa América, and now they have already reached the World Cup quarter-finals. Lionel Messi's side enjoyed an outstanding qualifying campaign, finishing top of their group. They also produced excellent results in the group stage, winning all three matches. A perfect nine points secured them a more favourable path through the knockout bracket.

Even so, nothing has come easily. Argentina defeated Cape Verde 3-2 after extra time before producing a dramatic comeback against Egypt. Trailing 2-0 in the 79th minute, Messi and company turned the game on its head to claim a remarkable 3-2 victory in regulation time. As for Lionel Messi himself, he is among the tournament's leading scorers with eight goals to his name.

Switzerland were drawn into a group that included one of the tournament's co-hosts, Canada, and enjoyed a strong campaign. They were held to a surprising draw against Qatar in their opening match before recording two victories, thrashing Bosnia 4-1 and then edging Canada 2-1 in the final group-stage fixture. Switzerland progressed to the knockout stage as group winners and faced Algeria in the Round of 32, where the European side comfortably secured a 2-0 victory without giving their opponents a chance.

In the Round of 16, they faced a hugely demanding test against Colombia, with the match only being decided in a penalty shootout. Switzerland came out on top 4-3 to book their place in the quarter-finals. This marks just the fourth time in the nation's history that they have reached the last eight of a World Cup. They now stand on the brink of a historic achievement—a first-ever appearance in the semi-finals of the tournament.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Lionel Messi is one of the leading forwards at the 2026 World Cup.
  • Switzerland are playing in the World Cup quarter-finals for the fourth time in their history.
  • Neither team has suffered a defeat at this tournament.
  • Argentina and Switzerland last met in 2014, when the South Americans claimed a 1-0 victory.

Probable line-ups

  • Argentina: E. Martínez; Molina, Romero, Lisandro Martínez, Tagliafico; De Paul, Paredes, Fernández, Mac Allister; Messi, Lautaro Martínez
  • Switzerland: Kobel; Zakaria, Elvedi, Akanji, Rodríguez; Jashari, Xhaka, Freuler; Ndoye, Embolo, Vargas

Prediction

I expect a phenomenal and highly intriguing contest, but I don't think it will be a high-scoring affair. What's more, I believe Argentina have what it takes to overcome Switzerland thanks to their superior squad and greater experience. My recommended bet is Argentina to win in regulation time.

Prediction on game Win Argentina
Odds: 1.73
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