West Ham vs Arsenal: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 10.05.2026
One of the headline clashes of Premier League Matchweek 36 will take place on Sunday in London, where local side West Ham host Arsenal at the London Stadium. The hosts have once again slipped into the relegation zone and are in desperate need of points, while the Gunners continue their title chase with a five-point cushion over Manchester City. Here's a prediction for this high-stakes showdown with strong chances of success.
Match preview
West Ham enter this derby in a highly tense state: a 0-3 defeat to Brentford snapped their four-game unbeaten run and sent Nuno Espírito Santo's team tumbling back into the relegation zone. The Hammers no longer have the luxury of picking and choosing their battles — the fixture list is unforgiving and every dropped point could prove decisive in the fight for survival.
That said, West Ham have looked far more convincing at home than their league position might suggest. Since their January loss to Nottingham Forest, they've gone eight games without defeat at the London Stadium in regulation time, and the support of their home ground remains their biggest asset ahead of facing the league leaders.
Arsenal, meanwhile, are hitting the home stretch of the season in sensational form: Mikel Arteta's men knocked out Atletico and reached the Champions League final for the first time in 20 years, before calmly dispatching Fulham 3-0 in the Premier League. City's slip-up allowed the Gunners to restore a comfortable five-point gap, and now the equation is simple: the title is in Arsenal's own hands.
Squad-wise, the visitors are still without Mikel Merino, and Jurriën Timber is close to returning but unlikely to be rushed back for this one. Arteta, however, has a well-drilled core with Zubimendi, Rice, Ødegaard, and Saka, and their record away to West Ham adds confidence: Arsenal haven't lost at the London Stadium in the Premier League for nearly seven years, with their last two visits ending in emphatic 5-2 and 6-0 victories.
Probable lineups
- West Ham: Hermansen, Diouf, Mavropanos, Disasi, Walker-Peters, Soucek, Fernandes, Summerville, Pablo, Bowen, Castellanos.
- Arsenal: Raya, White, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapié, Zubimendi, Rice, Saka, Ødegaard, Eze, Gyökeres.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Arsenal have won six of their last nine Premier League meetings with West Ham.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in six of the last nine head-to-head encounters.
- Arsenal are unbeaten against West Ham at the London Stadium in the Premier League for almost seven years.
- West Ham are on a nine-match unbeaten run at the London Stadium in all competitions.
- Arsenal have conceded the fewest goals in the league — just 26.
- Arsenal's last eight Premier League matches have all produced a winner — no draws.
- Arsenal have scored at least two goals in their last six league visits to West Ham.
- There have been no more than 10 corners in eight of the last nine league meetings between these sides at West Ham.
Prediction
West Ham will fight tooth and nail: their league position leaves no room for cautious excuses. Yet, even their impressive home run can't hide the main risk — against this Arsenal side, any lapse is fatal, and after the 0-3 defeat to Brentford, the Hammers' defense looks particularly vulnerable. The Gunners are in rare form, with results, confidence and motivation all peaking at the right moment. The Champions League final isn't a distraction yet, the title race demands a decisive push, and the visitors' attacking quality should be the difference — even at a tricky away ground.
