Wellington Phoenix — Melbourne Victory Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — February 6, 2026
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
On February 6, 2026, in Round 16 of the Australia A-League, Wellington Phoenix will host Melbourne Victory. The match is scheduled to kick off at 07:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix come into this match in rather inconsistent form. The team have failed to win their last two league matches, suffering a 1–4 away defeat to Newcastle Jets and then drawing 2–2 at home against Melbourne City. Overall, their recent results look fairly balanced: in the last six matches they have recorded two wins, two draws, and two losses.
In the league standings, Wellington currently sit 10th with 19 points, having scored 24 goals and conceded 28. As for their home form, the statistics are also quite even. In eight home matches, Wellington have three wins, two draws and three defeats, with a goal difference of 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Matches involving Wellington Phoenix have recently been quite high-scoring. Nine of their last ten games have ended with over 2.5 goals, and in eight of those ten matches both teams found the net. Looking at home head-to-head games against Melbourne Victory, Wellington also show a very balanced record: in the last six meetings at home, they have two wins, two draws and two losses.
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory come into this match in fairly poor form. In their last four matches, the team have suffered three defeats and recorded just one win. In their most recent outing, Melbourne lost 0–1 away to Central Coast Mariners. At the moment, the team sit eighth in the league table with 20 points, just one point behind the top six.
Away from home, Melbourne Victory have struggled significantly this season. In eight away matches, they have managed only two wins, one draw and five defeats, which is the second-worst away record in the league.
Looking at the head-to-head record, Melbourne Victory hold a slight advantage over Wellington Phoenix in recent meetings. In the last ten encounters between the two sides, Melbourne have five wins, three draws and only two defeats. It is also worth noting that the teams met about a month ago, at the end of December, when Melbourne Victory comfortably defeated Wellington Phoenix 5–1 at home. That result marked their third consecutive win in head-to-head clashes.
Probable Lineups
- Wellington Phoenix: Kelly-Heald, Payne, James, Hughes, Tuiloma, Rufer, Nagasawa, Armiento, Retre, Piper, Eze
- Melbourne Victory: Duncan, Davidson, Jackson, Esposito, Rawlins, Genreau, D'Ariggo, Mata, Jelacic, Clarismario, Vergos
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Wellington Phoenix have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.
- 9 of Wellington Phoenix’s last 10 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- In 8 of Wellington Phoenix’s last 10 matches, both teams scored.
- Melbourne Victory have lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
- 4 of Melbourne Victory’s last 6 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Melbourne Victory have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.
Wellington Phoenix — Melbourne Victory Prediction
Both teams come into this match not in their best shape. Wellington Phoenix have just one win in their last four matches and are currently on a two-game winless run. The team usually plays open, attacking football, scores regularly, but also concedes a lot, having the weakest defence in the league. Melbourne Victory are also inconsistent, with three defeats in their last four matches, while their away form this season remains a clear issue. At the same time, Melbourne have a noticeable advantage in head-to-head meetings, winning the last three encounters, including a convincing victory in their most recent meeting earlier this season. Considering Wellington’s defensive struggles, Melbourne’s poor away performances, and the motivation of both sides to improve their results, this match has all the ingredients to be open and high-scoring. My bet for this match: Both Teams to Score — Yes at odds of 1.57.
