Verona vs Genoa prediction, H2H and probable lineups - April 13, 2025
On April 13, 2025, the Marcantonio Bentegodi Stadium in Verona will host the 32nd round match of the Italian Serie A, featuring Verona and Genoa. I believe the chances of seeing a high-scoring match are extremely low.
Verona
Verona sits in 14th place in the Serie A standings, boasting a seven-point cushion above the relegation zone. In recent rounds, the team has shown a decent level of play, collecting five points in three matches thanks to one win and two draws.
Nevertheless, Verona's home form raises certain concerns. Over the last nine matches at their stadium, the team managed to secure only one victory with two draws, indicating instability in performances in front of their home fans. Additionally, it is worth noting that Verona remains the worst team in the league in terms of goals conceded — currently with 59 goals against.
The final part of the season is crucial for Verona. Despite their current advantage over competitors in the fight for survival, the team cannot yet feel secure.
Genoa
Genoa has recently been delivering convincing results and leaving a positive impression with their play. The team consistently picks up points in matches against teams of comparable level, and in encounters against the league leaders, they show respectable resistance, usually losing by only a narrow margin.
In the last eight rounds, Genoa suffered only two narrow defeats — both in away matches against Inter and Juventus with identical scores of 0-1. In the remaining six matches, the team managed to collect 12 points. This form allows the "Griffins" to confidently hold onto the 12th position in the standings. The gap from the relegation zone is a comfortable 14 points, virtually guaranteeing the club a place in Serie A next season.
Probable lineups
- Verona: Montipò, Gilardi, Coppola, Valentini, Cacace, Duda, Dawidowicz, Bernede, Bradaric, Caprari, Mosquera
- Genoa: Leali, Sabelli, De Winter, Vasquez, Carricol, Frendrup, Masini, Zanoli, Malinovskyi, Thorsby, Pinamonti
Match facts and H2H
- Only one of Verona's last seven matches saw the "Over 2.5 goals" bet win.
- Genoa has a similar scenario: in 7 of their last 8 matches, no more than two goals were scored.
- In the first round in Genoa, Verona won with a score of 2-0.
- In the last four head-to-head meetings, there has never been a draw. Each club has 2 wins.
Prediction
Verona needs the points more, but defeating the organized Genoa will be extremely challenging. The visitors are in good form, albeit lacking tournament motivation. Considering the pragmatic style of both teams, betting on "under 2.5 goals" at odds of 1.46 seems like the optimal choice.
