David Flower
Dailysports's expert
One of the matches of the 13th round of the Argentine Championship will be played on Tuesday at the "Jose Amalfitani" stadium, where the local Velez Sarsfield will host Sarmiento Junin. I suggest a bet on goals in this encounter with good chances of success.
Match preview
The football giant from Buenos Aires, Velez Sarsfield, is experiencing a deep playing crisis. After the first 12 rounds, the team is firmly entrenched at the bottom of the league table, having collected only 8 points: two wins, two draws, and as many as eight losses — figures that do not align with the club's historic status.
The attacking line is in disarray. Brian Romero, the leading forward and attacking captain, has scored just four goals in 14 matches. This is a modest result for a player of his caliber. The last five games showed some activity in attack — six goals scored, but the defense crumbled regularly, conceding five. Specifically, in the last round, the team lost away to Rosario Central with a score of 1-2.
"Atletico Sarmiento" is walking a tightrope — 13th place and only 10 points after 12 rounds. One win, seven draws, and four losses — weak statistics that speak for themselves. In the last round, the team hosted the legendary River Plate and managed to take points, drawing 1-1.
Overall, it must be admitted that the attack is struggling: Gabriel Carabajal, the nominal leader of the attack, has distinguished himself only twice in 11 matches. In the last five rounds, the team managed to hit the opponent's goal just four times, and in defense, there are gaps: an average of 1.3 goals conceded per game. The team suffers from a lack of cohesion, with too much relying on individual improvisation.
Probable lineups
- Velez Sarsfield: Marchiori, Lagos, Fernandez, Gomez, Quiros, Pizzini, Vasquez, Ordonez, Porcel, Santos, Romero
- Sarmiento Junin: Acosta, Godoy, Insaurralde, Roncaglia, Orihuela, Jimenez, Villalba, Go, Carabaja, Shuchr, Bravo
Match facts and head-to-head
- Last year, Velez Sarsfield defeated the opponent at home with a score of 1-0
- The "Both teams to score" bet hit in three out of five matches
- The "Over 2.5 goals" option hit in one out of five matches
Prediction
Bookmakers favor Velez in this match, offering odds of 1.75 for a home win. We believe it's better to take "Under 2.0 goals" with odds of 1.91.
