Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 4 February 2026
One of the Spanish Cup quarter-final clashes will unfold on Wednesday at the Mestalla Stadium in Valencia, where the local side Valencia hosts Athletic Bilbao. Let’s break down the best betting options for this match in the context of the fierce battle for a coveted semi-final spot in one of the country’s premier tournaments.
Match preview
Valencia have navigated a challenging path in the Copa del Rey, overcoming four rounds against teams of varying quality. Under Carlos Corberán, Los Che are still in the hunt for silverware, despite their inconsistency in La Liga, where they hover just two points above the relegation zone. Amid these league struggles, the cup offers a genuine opportunity to end the season on a high note.
The home ground advantage and passionate Mestalla support are crucial for Valencia, especially given that they’ve already defeated Athletic in the league this season. Special attention should be paid to the midfield, where André Almeida could return to the starting XI, and to the heart of the defence, where Carlos Tarraga is in contention for a starting berth.
Athletic have faced significant challenges this season – both in terms of squad fitness and results. Ernesto Valverde’s side sit only 11th in La Liga and have looked unconvincing in both attack and defence. Nevertheless, the Basques are traditionally a force in the Copa del Rey, boasting a rich history and plenty of experience in the competition’s decisive stages.
The Bilbao club lifted the trophy in the 2023/24 campaign, and their motivation to repeat that triumph remains sky-high. However, squad depth is a major concern, with several key players sidelined through injury and Nico Williams doubtful due to a groin issue. In these circumstances, Athletic will be relying on tactical discipline and the individual class of their experienced performers.
Probable line-ups
- Valencia: Dimitrievski; Foulquier, Cömert, Tarraga, Gayà; Rioja, Santamaría, Pepelu, Danjuma; Almeida; Sadiq
- Athletic Bilbao: Padilla; Areso, Paredes, Lekue, Boiro; Vesga, Ruiz de Galarreta; I. Williams, Gomez, Berenguer; Guruzeta
Match facts and head-to-head
- Athletic defeated Valencia in the Copa del Rey quarter-finals in 2023, with a 3-1 scoreline.
- Valencia have already beaten Athletic in this season’s La Liga, 2-0.
- Athletic won the Copa del Rey in the 2023/24 season, edging Mallorca on penalties in the final.
Prediction
Given the visitors’ current form and personnel issues, combined with Valencia’s strong home advantage, Los Che look like favourites in this tie. With the backing of the Mestalla and high motivation, Corberán’s side have a solid chance to edge a tense and evenly-matched contest. Expect a narrow victory for the hosts and their progression to the semi-finals.
