USA vs Haiti prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 23 June 2025
The third-round clash of the CONCACAF Gold Cup group stage between the United States and Haiti will take place on Monday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Here’s a top-value bet on goals in this encounter.
Match preview
Right from the start of the Gold Cup, the US national team made it clear they mean business: two matches, two wins, and not a single goal conceded. Mauricio Pochettino’s squad looks like a well-oiled machine—seasoned veterans complement ambitious youngsters, and their high-intensity pressing and disciplined defense leave opponents with no space to operate. The narrow 1-0 victory over Saudi Arabia was another reminder that the Stars and Stripes can grind out results even when they aren’t dazzling the crowd.
It’s also worth noting that Pochettino seems to have found the perfect balance with his 4-3-3 setup, allowing the team to dominate possession and create danger from the wings. Now, the US are ready to cement their spot at the top of the group and will take on Haiti confident in their favorite status—but without unnecessary bravado. This squad boasts a wealth of experience at major tournaments, meaning they won’t take any needless risks.
The Caribbean fighters once again enter a match against the US as clear underdogs, but they’ve already shown that writing them off is a mistake. Haiti may have collected just one point from two matches, but they showed their teeth by earning a draw against Trinidad and Tobago, keeping their playoff hopes alive. It’s important to remember that Haiti came through a tough qualification campaign and knows how to play tight, aggressive football against more technically gifted opponents.
Despite some chaotic defending, Kim Pan-gon's side knows how to make the most of their chances up front: the "Blues" have quick wingers and a capable, experienced attacking core that can surprise the US backline if given the chance. Expect Haiti to try to catch the hosts on the break and from set pieces—tactics that have helped the Caribbean side find the net against favorites before.
Probable lineups
- USA: M. Freese — A. Freeman, C. Richards, T. Ream, M. Arfsten — S. Berhalter, L. De La Torre — J. McGlynn, M. Tillman, D. Luna — P. Agyemang.
- Haiti: J. Placide — A. Carlens, R. Ade, J. Duverne, L. Pierre — M. Expyriance, L. Didson, D. Jean-Jacques, R. Providence — D. Nazon, F. Pierrot.
Match facts and head-to-head
- In their most recent meeting, the US edged Haiti 1-0.
- Across the last five encounters, the US have beaten Haiti three times, with two draws.
- Haiti have not defeated the US in official matches over the past ten years.
Prediction
Given both sides’ form and quality, the US should confidently secure all three points and book an early playoff ticket. However, don’t expect a walk in the park: Haiti will likely fight for a consolation goal and won’t go down without a battle. Our bet for this match is "Total over 2.5 goals" at odds of 1.65.
