Uruguay vs Venezuela prediction: can the hosts secure a confident victory?

Uruguay vs Venezuela prediction Edilzon Gamez/Getty Images
Finished
2 : 0
International,
Rodrigo Aguirre
43'
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
47'

On Wednesday, June 11, in the 16th round of World Cup qualification in the CONMEBOL zone, Uruguay will host Venezuela. I suggest a handicap bet on the winner.

Key facts and head-to-head history

  • Uruguay are winless in their last 4 matches.
  • Venezuela have lost 5 away games in a row.
  • The Venezuela national team has never reached the World Cup finals in its history.
  • Uruguay have won only 2 of their last 5 home matches.
  • In the 8th round of the current qualifiers, Uruguay and Venezuela drew 0-0.

Match preview

Uruguay were initially considered one of the favorites in the World Cup qualifiers. For a long time, Marcelo Bielsa’s side were among the top three, but they have recently hit a rough patch. With three rounds left, Uruguay sit fifth with 21 points.

In their previous match, Uruguay deeply disappointed their fans, suffering a 0-2 defeat to Paraguay. Throughout the game, Uruguay barely created any dangerous chances. Before that, La Celeste drew 0-0 away to Bolivia and also lost 0-1 to Argentina.

For years, Venezuela were seen as CONMEBOL’s perennial underdogs, but now they are on the verge of a historic breakthrough. For the first time ever, Venezuela are truly close to qualifying for the World Cup. After 15 rounds, La Vinotinto occupy seventh place, which now, due to the new rules, leads to an intercontinental playoff. Venezuela are four points clear of Bolivia, who are eighth.

Two consecutive victories in their last matches have been crucial for Venezuela. Last week, Fernando Batista’s side defeated Bolivia 2-0, and before that edged past Peru 1-0.

Probable lineups

  • Uruguay: Mele; Varela, Ronald Araújo, Giménez, Piquerés; Bentancur, Ugarte, De Arrascaeta; Pellistri, Aguirre, Maximiliano Araújo
  • Venezuela: Romo; Aramburu, Ferraresi, Ángel, Navarro; Bello, José Martínez; Savarino, Segovia, Josef Martínez; Rondón

Uruguay vs Venezuela match prediction

Uruguay have a higher-quality squad and will do everything to get closer to World Cup qualification. At the same time, Venezuela struggle away from home. I’m backing the hosts to win with a -1 handicap.

Prediction on game W1(-1)
Odds: 1.78
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