Uruguay vs Colombia prediction and betting tips - July 11, 2024
In the Copa America 2024 semifinal, Uruguay will face Colombia. The match will take place overnight on Thursday, July 11, starting at 2:00 AM Central European Time. Analysts from Dailysports have prepared a forecast for this encounter.
Uruguay
One of the most decorated teams in Copa America history, Uruguay had an incredible group stage. In their first match, Uruguay secured a convincing 3-1 victory over Panama, scoring two goals in the last ten minutes. They followed this with a 5-0 thrashing of Bolivia, scoring three goals in the final 15 minutes of the match. In their final group stage match, Marcelo Bielsa's team narrowly defeated tournament hosts USA. Ultimately, Uruguay topped their group with nine points from three matches. Notably, they scored the most goals in the group stage and were the highest-scoring team in the final 15 minutes, netting five goals.
In the knockout stage, Uruguay faced a formidable opponent in Brazil. The match against the five-time champions was tense and intriguing. Uruguay had less possession but posed a sharper attacking threat. According to xG statistics, Brazil had an xG of 0.55 compared to Uruguay's 0.95, indicating Uruguay was closer to scoring. However, they couldn't find the breakthrough, and the game went to penalties. There, Bielsa's team prevailed, defeating Brazil 4-2.
Colombia
Colombia remained unbeaten in the Copa America group stage, despite being in the same group as Brazil. In their first match, Colombia narrowly defeated Paraguay 2-1. They followed this with a commanding 3-0 victory over Costa Rica. In the final group stage match against Brazil, which determined the group winner, Colombia secured the necessary result with a late first-half equalizer after Brazil opened the scoring. A draw was sufficient for Colombia to top the group.
In the quarterfinals, Colombia was the only team not to require penalties. They comfortably defeated Panama 5-0 to advance to the Copa America semifinals. Currently, Colombia is the highest-scoring team in the tournament with 11 goals.
Interesting Facts and Head-to-Head
- The last match between Uruguay and Colombia ended in a 2-2 draw in 2023.
- Uruguay has won 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Uruguay has not conceded to Colombia in their last 4 home matches.
- Colombia is undefeated in their last 10 matches.
Uruguay vs Colombia Prediction
In the quarterfinals, only Colombia scored more than one goal. However, they face a much stronger opponent this time than Panama. Uruguay has also shown very strong form, defeating Brazil in the quarterfinals to reaffirm their championship ambitions. Additionally, these two teams are the highest-scoring in the tournament. Therefore, my bet is that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.5.
