Union vs Atalanta: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 28 January 2026

Union St.Gilloise vs Atalanta prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Champions League (Round 8) 28 jan 2026, 15:00
Finished
1 : 0
International, Anderlecht, Lotto Park
Anan Khalaili
70'

One of the fixtures of Matchday 8 in the 2025/26 Champions League main stage will take place on Wednesday at the Joseph Marien Stadium in Brussels, where local side Union host Italy’s Atalanta. I’m suggesting a bet on the outcome of this clash, with a solid chance for success.

Match preview

The Belgian club is winless in their last two matches, and even more concerning is their inability to score during this stretch. The defeat to Bayern was expected, but a goalless draw with Oud-Heverlee in the league signals a dip in attacking performance. Home support could boost Union against Atalanta, but poor finishing and a shaky defense remain their biggest issues.

The squad situation is far from ideal—especially in attack, where top scorer Promis David is out and Kevin Rodriguez remains a doubt. The hosts have conceded heavily at home in European competition: 11 of their 17 Champions League goals allowed this season have come on home turf. That’s particularly dangerous against Atalanta, a side that punishes mistakes ruthlessly.

The Italian team had a chance to clinch a top-8 spot last round, but surprisingly lost at home to Athletic, losing control over their own destiny. Nevertheless, Atalanta still has a great shot at the playoffs and approaches this match highly motivated. They've lost just once in their last six games and are showing strong form away from home.

While the visitors still have issues on the flanks, key players like Kossounou, Kolasinac and Scamacca are fit. Their away form keeps improving each round: recent victories over Eintracht and Marseille prove Atalanta can earn points on the road. Against a shaky Belgian backline, the Italians enter as clear favorites.

Probable lineups

  • Union: Scherpen, Mac Allister, Burgess, Leysen, K. Van de Perre, Zorgane, Smith, Patris, Ait El-Hadji, Fuseini, Floro Uch
  • Atalanta: Carnesecchi, Kossounou, Aanor, Kolasinac, De Roon, Ederson, Zappacosta, Bernasconi, De Ketelaere, Zalewski, Scamacca

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Union has failed to score in their last two matches.
  • Atalanta has won their last two Champions League away games.
  • Both teams have not scored in five of Union’s last six matches.

Prediction

Union is struggling in attack and has lost their most important forward. Even with strong home motivation, the Belgians will find it tough against a balanced and aggressive Atalanta side. The visitors have solved their away issues and look stronger both in terms of squad and current form. Expect a cautious match with minimal risks, but the edge goes to the Italians.

Prediction on game Atalanta Win or Draw & Total over 1.5
Odds: 1.72
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