Uganda vs Tanzania: H2H, lineups and match prediction – December 27, 2025

Uganda vs Tanzania prediction https://x.com/UgandaCranes/status/2003552171267358744?s=20
Finished
1 : 1
International, Rabat, Al Barid
Uche Ikpeazu
80'
59' (P)
Simon Msuva

On Saturday, December 27, in the second round of the Africa Cup of Nations, Uganda will face off against Tanzania. Read on for insights into the teams' form and our match prediction.

Match preview

Uganda heads into the second round of the Africa Cup of Nations after a 1-3 defeat to Tunisia. The "Cranes" managed to score their only goal in stoppage time, with Denis Omedi, who came off the bench, finding the net in the 90+2nd minute. Overall, Belgian coach Paul Put's side put in a solid performance, but Tunisia's superior quality ultimately proved decisive.

Uganda last featured in the Africa Cup of Nations in 2019, making it out of a group that included Egypt, DR Congo, and Zimbabwe. In the round of 16, they fell to Senegal, who went on to reach the final. After losing their opening match in this year’s tournament, Uganda’s chances of repeating that success have diminished, though hope is not yet lost.

Tanzania find themselves in a similar position. In the opening round, they put up a strong fight against Nigeria and, with a bit more luck, could have secured a different result. However, Nigeria managed to break through and score a second goal. As a result, both Tanzania and Uganda remain pointless after the first round, making this upcoming clash a crucial opportunity for either side to claim their first points of the tournament.

Meanwhile, Tanzania has been struggling to deliver positive results for quite some time. Their last victory came back in the summer at the African Nations Championship, when the "Taifa Stars" edged Madagascar 2-1. Since then, the team has suffered six defeats and managed just two draws — against the Central African Republic (0-0) in the same tournament and against Congo (1-1) in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Uganda have conceded in each of their last five matches.
  • Each of Uganda’s last five games has featured more than two goals.
  • Tanzania have lost all of their last five matches.
  • In six of Tanzania’s last eight games, fewer than three goals have been scored.
  • The teams have faced each other ten times, with an even head-to-head record: four wins each and two draws.

Probable lineups

  • Uganda: Magoola – Sibbick, Torach, Obita, Kayondo – Ssemugabi, Semakula, Aucho, Mato – Lorenzen, Mukwala
  • Tanzania: Masudi – Kapombe, Mwamnyeto, Hamad, Husseini – Msanga, Miroshi, M'Mombwa – Msuva, Allarakhia, Samatta

Prediction

I expect this to be a low-scoring affair. With so much at stake for both teams, neither side will want to take unnecessary risks. My prediction is that we’ll see no more than one or two goals in this match. My pick: under 2.5 goals.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.55
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