Tunisia vs Uganda prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 23, 2025
One of the opening matches of the Africa Cup of Nations will take place on Tuesday at the Stade Olympique Annexe Complexe Sportif Prince Abdellah in Rabat, where Tunisia will face Uganda. Here’s a prediction for the outcome of this clash, offering solid chances for success.
Match preview
The Tunisian national team confidently ranks among the tournament favorites. Although their qualification campaign wasn’t spectacular — they finished second in their group behind Comoros — the squad delivered a powerful World Cup qualifying run, winning nine out of ten matches and keeping a clean sheet throughout. This form has undoubtedly fired up their supporters.
Still, there’s no room for complacency — Tunisia crashed out at the group stage of the last Africa Cup of Nations without a single win. Defensively, concerns linger, as they conceded in six of their last seven matches. Nevertheless, their roster quality and overall potential hint at a strong start in this opener.
Uganda enters the tournament with decent momentum — four wins in their last six matches — but their preparations have been disrupted by internal federation issues. This could impact the team’s atmosphere and morale, especially before a showdown with such a formidable opponent as Tunisia.
Historically, Uganda hasn’t shone at this level. Since reaching the final in 1978 and the round of 16 in 2019, there haven’t been any memorable results. To make matters worse, Uganda is under psychological pressure from a run of six straight losses to Tunisia. All this makes their task in Rabat particularly daunting.
Probable lineups
- Tunisia: Damen, Meriah, Bronn, Valery, Talbi, Abdi, Sassi, Gharbi, Ouanes, Saad, Mastouri
- Uganda: Onyango, Sibbik, Mukundane, Obita, Herbert, Semakula, Aucho, Lorenzen, Ikpeazu, Okello, Mukwala
Match facts and head-to-head
- Tunisia is unbeaten against Uganda in their last six encounters.
- Uganda has won only one match at AFCON since 1978 — against DR Congo in 2019.
- Tunisia has lost just one of their last six matches.
Prediction
Tunisia is objectively superior across the board — in squad depth, form, and recent tournament performances. Uganda, meanwhile, is battling more with internal issues than with their rivals on the pitch. Considering the strength and motivation on offer, back the "Carthage Eagles" for a confident victory at odds of 1.74.
