Tottenham vs Leeds United: prediction, head-to-head stats and probable lineups — 11.05.2026
One of the fixtures of the 36th round of the English Championship will take place on Monday in London, where Tottenham Hotspur will host Leeds United at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The hosts are fighting to climb out of the danger zone and aiming to win three consecutive Premier League matches for the first time this season, while the visitors are close to mathematically securing their top-flight status. That’s why I suggest betting on the outcome of this clash, which offers a strong chance of success.
Match preview
Under Roberto De Zerbi, Tottenham have finally started showing signs of life at the very moment when their margin for error was all but gone. After a draw with Brighton, the Londoners picked up two crucial away wins in a row: first overcoming Wolverhampton, then defeating Aston Villa 2-1 thanks to quick goals from Conor Gallagher and Richarlison.
The team is still sitting far too low for their stature, but now their fate in the survival fight is back in their own hands. The Spurs’ home record has been dreadful - just 11 points from 17 matches - but De Zerbi has ramped up their pressing intensity, and aggressive ball recoveries in the final third might be their main weapon against Leeds.
Leeds enter this round in a much more comfortable position: Daniel Farke’s side have picked up 10 points from their last four Premier League outings and are unbeaten in six league matches. In the last round, the Yorkshiremen confidently dispatched doomed Burnley 3-1, with goals from Anton Stach, Noah Okafor, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
That said, the loss of Okafor is a serious blow to the visitors’ attack - the Swiss international had seven goal involvements in his last seven Premier League matches and was one of their main sources of attacking spark. Leeds haven’t lost away from home in a while either, but eight draws in their last ten away matches show that while they rarely collapse, they often struggle to put teams away.
Probable lineups
- Tottenham: Kinski, Porro, Danso, van de Ven, Udogie, Bentancur, Palhinha, Kolo Muani, Gallagher, Tel, Richarlison.
- Leeds United: Darlow, Bijol, Struijk, Rodon, Bogle, Stach, Tanaka, Ampadu, Justin, Nmecha, Calvert-Lewin.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Tottenham have won their last two Premier League matches and could claim three league victories in a row for the first time this season.
- Leeds are unbeaten in their last six Premier League matches, collecting 10 points over their last four games.
- Tottenham have won their last five Premier League meetings with Leeds, including a 2-1 victory at Elland Road earlier this season.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Tottenham’s last 9 home Premier League matches and in 6 of Leeds’ last 7 away league games.
- Leeds have not taken more than 4 corners in any of their last 8 away Premier League matches.
- At least 4 yellow cards have been shown in 11 of Tottenham’s last 13 home Premier League matches.
Prediction
Tottenham are still far from their best, but the team has clearly gained energy and confidence. For De Zerbi, this match is a chance to cement the positive turnaround, and for the players, it’s an opportunity to pull clear of the drop zone and relieve some pressure ahead of the final rounds. Leeds are capable of putting up a fight and are by no means accidental contenders in this clash - Farke’s men have become more consistent, manage away fixtures better, and show real resilience. However, Okafor’s absence blunts their edge, and Tottenham’s current momentum combined with home advantage should help the Londoners grind out a hard-fought but hugely important three points.
