The visitors’ strong form could level the odds: Getafe vs Lugano prediction
The second-round fixture of the Conference League league phase between Getafe and Lugano will take place on October 22, 2026, at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. The Spanish club opened the tournament with a 1-1 draw against Universitatea Craiova, while the Swiss side defeated Crvena Zvezda 3-2. The hosts have home advantage, but Lugano’s current form makes this clash far more evenly matched than the teams’ status might suggest.
Getafe: too many draws and a lack of cutting edge
José Bordalás’ side has yet to find consistent momentum. After drawing 1-1 with Universitatea Craiova in the Conference League, Getafe finished their La Liga match against Rayo Vallecano by the same scoreline. In their last six matches across all competitions, the Madrid club has recorded just one win, along with two defeats and three draws.
The hosts’ main problems are linked to their limited attacking options and a number of absences. Oréle Mangala, Juanmi, Zaid Romero, Iván Asson and Christantus Uche remain sidelined, while Dani Carvajal has not been registered for the league phase of the tournament. Borja Mayoral is once again expected to lead the line and should start.
Lugano: five straight wins and plenty of goals
Mattia Croci-Torti’s team comes into the game in excellent form. Lugano has won their last five matches across all competitions, including a 3-2 victory over Crvena Zvezda in the opening round of the Conference League and a 4-0 thrashing of Pully in the Swiss Cup. The team has also been regularly scoring three or four goals in the league, making them one of the most dangerous attacking sides in this matchup.
Daniel dos Santos has been particularly impressive, scoring eight goals in 18 appearances this season. Albian Ajeti provides an additional threat, with three goals in eight games. The visitors are also in a much better position in terms of squad availability: Claudio Cassano is the only significant absence mentioned, allowing the coaching staff to rely on an almost full-strength squad.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- Lugano have scored in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the Conference League
- Lugano have won their last five matches across all competitions.
- Both teams scored in regular time in 6 of Lugano’s last 7 away matches in the Conference League
The visitors can take a point from Madrid: Getafe vs Lugano prediction
Getafe can traditionally impose an awkward, physical style of football at home, so Lugano should not be expected to control the game outright. However, the Spaniards are currently dropping points too often and are not showing the attacking output needed to close out matches of this kind with confidence.
Lugano, by contrast, are riding a powerful winning streak and consistently create plenty of chances. The away factor and the higher overall level of La Liga may prevent the Swiss side from taking all three points, but their current form should be enough to score and secure at least a draw.
