The hosts have found their rhythm: prediction for Mirassol vs Grêmio

Mirassol vs Gremio prediction Photo: cbf.com.br / Author unknown
Mirassol Mirassol
Brazil Cup (Round 1/8) 02 aug 2026, 17:00
Finished
1 : 1
Brazil,
Bruno Santos
19'
51'
Francis Amuzu

The Brazilian Cup clash between Mirassol and Grêmio will take place on August 2 at the José Maria de Campos Maia stadium in Mirassol. The teams will battle for a spot in the tournament quarterfinals, with the winner also earning a prize of 4 million reais.

Mirassol: home confidence and set-piece danger

Rafael Guana's team is gradually turning things around after a rough start to the season. In their latest league outing, Mirassol defeated Remo 2-1, with both goals coming from corners—a result that lifted the club out of the relegation zone.

In their last six matches, the hosts have picked up three wins, one draw, and suffered two defeats. They have been especially dominant at home, winning seven of their last eight matches at their own ground. New signing Wallison is now available to the coaching staff, while Aldo Filho and Negeba will miss out due to injuries.

Grêmio: Sudamericana exit increases the pressure

Grêmio come into the match after a 0-1 home loss to Bolívar, which ended their campaign in the Copa Sudamericana. Prior to that, the Brazilian side lost 2-3 away to the same opponent, and drew 1-1 with Fluminense in the league.

Over the last six games, Luís Castro's side have managed just one win and suffered four defeats. Defensive issues have been particularly evident: Grêmio have conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game, and both teams have scored in five of their last six matches. With Walter Kannemann suspended, Wagner Leonardo is expected to fill in at the heart of defense.

Match facts and head-to-head history

  • Mirassol have won all four previous head-to-head meetings against Grêmio.
  • The hosts have claimed victory in seven of their last eight home games.
  • Grêmio have lost three of their last four matches.

Home advantage will be decisive: prediction for Mirassol vs Grêmio

In terms of status and history, Grêmio remain the bigger name, but current form strongly favors the hosts. Mirassol have hit their stride, consistently delivering results at home, and recently defeated their upcoming opponent in the league 2-1.

The visitors are struggling with organization and confidence following their Sudamericana exit. Even a cautious, midfield-heavy setup hasn't shored up their defense, and the absence of Kannemann only makes things tougher.

Prediction on game W1(0)
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