The hosts are targeting another high-scoring win: South Africa vs Kenya prediction

South Africa vs Kenya prediction Photo: bbc.com / Author unknown

The third-round 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between South Africa and Kenya will take place on November 13, 2026, at Orlando Stadium in Johannesburg. South Africa top Group D with six points after two wins, while Kenya sit third with one point. The hosts head into the clash in excellent form and will be looking to strengthen their grip on top spot.

South Africa: a potent attack and a confident start to qualifying

South Africa have made a strong start to their qualifying campaign under Pitso Mosimane. Bafana Bafana beat Guinea 2-1 before thrashing Eritrea 5-0, scoring seven goals across their first two matches. The South Africans also beat Egypt 1-0 in their most recent friendly, extending their winning run to three matches and keeping clean sheets in their last two.

The hosts have been particularly impressive in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. They are unbeaten in 11 tournament matches, with eight wins and three draws. More than 2.5 goals were scored in nine of those games, underlining South Africa’s ability to regularly deliver high-scoring contests.

Kenya: struggles in front of goal are costing them points

Kenya have yet to find their rhythm under Benni McCarthy. After a convincing 4-0 friendly win over Lesotho, the team have gone three matches without a victory. In qualifying, the Harambee Stars drew 1-1 with Eritrea and lost 1-0 to Guinea, while their latest friendly against Rwanda ended goalless.

The visitors’ main problem remains their lack of attacking efficiency. Kenya have scored just once in their first two qualifying matches, and have won only one of their last six away games in all competitions. That kind of inconsistency could be enough to cost them more points against the group leaders.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • South Africa have won their last four Africa Cup of Nations qualifying matches
  • More than 2.5 goals were scored in 10 of South Africa’s last 12 qualifying matches
  • South Africa have beaten Kenya in their last two head-to-head meetings, with the previous match ending 2-1

The favorites can win by a big margin: South Africa vs Kenya prediction

South Africa look significantly stronger thanks to their excellent form and prolific attack. The hosts have scored seven goals in two matches, while Kenya are struggling even against less formidable opponents.

The visitors will try to sit deep, but containing Bafana Bafana’s attacking line will be no easy task. Given South Africa’s qualifying record, the hosts can be expected to win with several goals to their name.

Prediction on game W1(-1.5)
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