The hosts are strong in the Copa Libertadores: Estudiantes vs Corinthians prediction

Estudiantes vs Corinthians prediction Photo: bbc.com / Author unknown
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The first leg of the Copa Libertadores quarter-final between Estudiantes and Corinthians will take place on 10 September. The Argentine side host the match on their own ground, where they are still unbeaten in this season's competition, while the visitors arrive after four consecutive defeats in the Brazilian league.

Estudiantes: much more dangerous at home

In the previous round, Estudiantes eliminated Universidad Católica. After a 1-1 home draw, the Argentines comfortably won the return leg in Santiago 3-0 thanks to a Guido Carrillo brace and a goal from Joaquín Correa.

Their domestic league results have been less consistent, with the team losing 1-0 to Vélez Sarsfield in the previous round. However, Estudiantes remain unbeaten at home in the Copa Libertadores, while in 12 home first legs in the competition's knockout stage they have recorded nine wins and three draws.

Corinthians: four consecutive defeats in Brazil

Corinthians are going through a difficult spell and have lost their last four league matches. In the previous round, Fernando Diniz's side suffered a 2-1 home defeat to Chapecoense, having previously lost to Santos, Coritiba and Cruzeiro.

In the Copa Libertadores, however, the Brazilians have looked far more reliable: in the previous round they eliminated Rosario Central without conceding in either leg. But the possible absence of Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay's less-than-ideal fitness could significantly reduce their attacking quality.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Estudiantes are unbeaten at home in this season's Copa Libertadores.
  • Corinthians have suffered four consecutive defeats in the Brazilian league.
  • In 2023, the teams exchanged 1-0 home victories in the Copa Sudamericana.

Home advantage could prove decisive: Estudiantes vs Corinthians prediction

Estudiantes look stronger specifically in the Copa Libertadores, where they regularly raise their intensity and perform reliably at home. Carrillo and Correa also provide the hosts with enough attacking quality to build an advantage before the return leg.

Corinthians know how to keep European-style knockout matches tight, but their current domestic slump and attacking problems are too significant to ignore. Therefore, the Argentine side deserve a slight edge.

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