The favorite dominates with class once again: prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky - 04.07.2026
Las Vegas Aces
Chicago Sky
The WNBA regular season clash between the Las Vegas Aces and the Chicago Sky is set to tip off on the night of July 4th at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The home team enters the matchup with a 14-5 record and clear favorite status, while Chicago sits at 6-13 and gets a +10.5 point spread. Here’s my take on the game’s outcome.
Las Vegas Aces: relentless offense and confidence after head-to-head win
Las Vegas already faced Chicago in their previous game, taking a 107-99 victory. The Aces converted 33 of 63 field goals for a strong 52.4% shooting percentage and knocked down 10 of 25 from beyond the arc. The team aggressively attacked the free throw line, capitalizing with 31 made shots out of 37 attempts.
The star of the night was A'ja Wilson. She racked up 30 points on 8-for-14 shooting, grabbed 15 rebounds, and logged 34 minutes on the court. This season, Las Vegas averages 90.7 points per game, leads the WNBA in field goal percentage at 48.8%, and tops the league in assists with 22.9 per game.
Chicago Sky: offense held up, but defense faltered again
Chicago dropped that same game to Las Vegas 99-107, but put up a respectable offensive showing. The Sky made 37 of 80 field goals, hit 9 of 24 from deep, and dished out 38 assists. But even with that offensive production, they couldn’t keep up, as they allowed the opponent to shoot above 52% from the field.
Kamilla Cardoso was one of Chicago’s brightest spots: 24 points, 8 rebounds, and 10 makes on 15 attempts. Overall, the Sky average 86.4 points per game, but their defense remains a glaring weakness. The team allows 89.5 points per game on average, lets opponents haul in 38.2 rebounds, and fouls too often—committing 21.8 personal fouls per contest.
Match facts
- Las Vegas Aces are 14-5, Chicago Sky hold a 6-13 record.
- In their previous head-to-head, the Aces defeated the Sky 107-99.
Too much firepower for the Sky defense: prediction for Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky
The main question in this matchup isn’t who’s stronger, but whether Chicago can stay within the spread. The Sky have already shown they can score against Las Vegas, but their defense couldn’t handle the Aces’ pace or efficiency. When your opponent shoots 52.4% from the field and gets 37 free throws, winning becomes nearly impossible.
Right now, Las Vegas looks like the more complete team. The Aces boast the league’s best shooting offense, have a true leader in A'ja Wilson, and excel at ball movement. With home-court advantage and fresh proof of superiority in their last meeting, betting on the favorite makes perfect sense.
