The conquerors of the favourites battle for a place in the final: South Melbourne vs Queensland Lions prediction

South Melbourne vs Lions FC prediction Photo: bbc.com / Author unknown
South Melbourne South Melbourne
- : -
Australia,
Lions FC Lions FC

The Australia Cup semi-final between South Melbourne and Queensland Lions will determine the second participant in the decisive match against Melbourne Victory. Both teams have already eliminated A-League opponents, but they head into this fixture in completely different form.

South Melbourne: a third chance to reach the final

South Melbourne have reached the Australia Cup semi-finals for the third time after falling at this stage in 2017 and 2024. In this year's competition, they came from behind twice to win 2-1 against Adelaide United and Preston Lions, while they eliminated Fremantle City on penalties.

However, the hosts' current form is far from ideal, with three defeats in their last four league matches costing them a place in the NPL Victoria final. South Melbourne have also conceded in each of their last eight Australia Cup matches.

Queensland Lions: 12 consecutive victories and four trophies

Queensland Lions have already become one of the biggest surprises of the tournament. They eliminated Perth Glory on penalties, then beat Melbourne City 2-0 before thrashing North Sunshine Eagles 4-0.

The visitors head into the semi-final on a run of 12 consecutive victories in all competitions. During that spell, they also won the NPL Queensland final and several other domestic competitions, while keeping clean sheets in five of their last six matches.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • This will be the first meeting between South Melbourne and Queensland Lions.
  • South Melbourne's last five matches have all been decided by exactly one goal.
  • Queensland Lions have won their last 12 matches in all competitions and kept clean sheets in five of their last six.

The finalist could be decided in extra time: South Melbourne vs Queensland Lions prediction

South Melbourne have experience at this stage and home advantage, but their recent results provide little reason to consider them clear favourites. Queensland Lions, by contrast, are in excellent form and have already shown that they can compete successfully against higher-profile opponents.

The semi-final nature of the match could make the football more cautious than usual. Given the visitors' defensive reliability and the importance of the result, a low-scoring contest and a draw after 90 minutes look the most logical outcome.

Prediction on game Total under 3.5
Odds: 1.59
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