Sweden vs Denmark prediction, H2H and probable lineups – June 3, 2025
Sweden
Denmark
On June 3, 2025, the final match of the group stage in the Women's Nations League will take place at the Strawberry Arena in Solna, Sweden, as the national teams of Sweden and Denmark face off. I’m backing a bet on goals in this clash.
Preview
The UEFA Women's Nations League is a relatively new but already prestigious tournament at the national team level. Its introduction was a logical step in the evolution of European football: the format replaced low-stakes friendlies with matches that carry real sporting motivation. Winning the competition not only brings a coveted title but also opens the door to major international events, including the Olympic Games. Every matchday is packed with intensity, tournament intrigue, and maximum competition.
In the previous edition, both Denmark and Sweden failed to progress from their groups. Denmark finished second, missing out on top spot by just one point to Germany, while Sweden came third, trailing behind Spain and Italy. This result forced the Scandinavians into play-offs, where Sweden underlined their class by dismantling Bosnia and Herzegovina (10-0 on aggregate).
This group stage has been more positive for both teams. Alongside Sweden and Denmark, the group also includes Italy and Wales. It’s already clear, however, that the battle for top spot is strictly between the Scandinavian rivals: Wales have only two points from five matches and are guaranteed relegation, while Italy’s seven points mean that even a final day win would secure their League A status but not a playoff spot.
At the moment, Sweden top the group. The team is unbeaten, having defeated both Denmark and Italy, but stumbled twice against Wales, surprisingly drawing both encounters. Ironically, those draws could cost Sweden first place if they lose to Denmark in this direct showdown. Nevertheless, a draw in the final round is enough to guarantee Sweden a place in the Nations League playoffs.
For Denmark, the scenario is crystal clear: only a win will do. If the match ends in a draw and Italy beat Wales, Denmark would be forced into a relegation play-off to stay in League A. The team’s group record has been inconsistent—three wins and two losses. Notably, Denmark have a perfect away record in this campaign, with two wins from two on the road.
Thus, this head-to-head between Denmark and Sweden is effectively the group final. Sweden bank on stability and tactical discipline, while Denmark rely on attacking dynamism and their away form. There’s no room for error—the stakes couldn’t be higher.
Probable lineups
- Sweden: Falk, Holmberg, Björn, Eriksson, Nildén, Angeldahl, Schröder, Zigiotti Olme, Kaneryd, Blomqvist, Rolfö
- Denmark: Østergaard, Obaze, Ballisager, Veje, Thomsen, Snerle, Kühl, Holmgaard, Kramer, Vangsgaard, Harder
Match facts and H2H
- Sweden are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
- Denmark are on a run of three straight away wins. They have scored in each of their last five away games.
- The first-leg clash was a hard-fought battle, with Sweden snatching a 2-1 away victory.
- In the last four head-to-head meetings, the away team has always emerged victorious.
Prediction
Sweden may opt for a cautious, defensive approach—a draw suits them just fine. Denmark, on the other hand, need to attack, and the away setting shouldn’t faze them. They have every chance of success, but given the strength of the opposition, the best value is on “over 2.5 goals” at odds of 1.78.
