Sweden have won eight of their last ten meetings with Poland: prediction for Sweden vs Poland

Sweden vs Poland prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
UEFA Nations League B (Round 2) 28 sep 2026, 14:45
Finished
3 : 1
International, Stockholm, Strawberry Arena
Benjamin Nygren
8'
Yasin Ayari
64'
Viktor Gyoekeres
72'
43'
Sebastian Szymanski

The UEFA Nations League second-round match between Sweden and Poland will take place on September 28 at Strawberry Arena. The hosts opened the tournament with a 2-1 win over Romania and top the group, while Poland have one point after a goalless draw with Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Sweden: Isak and Gyökeres are already making an impact

Sweden defeated Romania 2-1 in the opening round. Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres got on the scoresheet, while the team allowed their opponents just one shot on target.

However, Sweden’s overall form remains inconsistent — the win over Romania was only their second in their last seven international matches. At home, though, the team are unbeaten in four straight games, winning twice during that run.

Poland: more problems creating chances

Poland began their Nations League campaign with a 0-0 draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina. The team created just one genuinely dangerous chance and failed to score for the second time in their last three matches.

Poland’s winless run has now reached four games. Their away record is also unstable — four defeats in their last seven matches on the road, making the trip to Sweden a difficult challenge.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Sweden are unbeaten in four consecutive home matches.
  • Poland have now gone four matches without a win.
  • Sweden have won eight of their last ten head-to-head matches against Poland.

The Isak–Gyökeres partnership could decide the outcome again: prediction for Sweden vs Poland

Sweden look more convincing thanks to their quality in attack. Isak and Gyökeres both scored in the opening round, and against a team that have recently struggled to create chances, their individual ability could prove decisive.

Poland still have Robert Lewandowski, but without enough support in attack, even he will find it difficult to consistently threaten the hosts’ goal. Given Sweden’s home run and Poland’s poor head-to-head record, the advantage lies with the hosts.

Prediction on game Win Sweden
Odds: 2.07
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