Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Match preview and Lineups — 9 May 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction Photo: https://x.com/RBLeipzig/Author unknownn
Bundesliga Germany (Round 33) 09 may 2026, 09:30
Finished
3 : 1
Germany, Stuttgart, MHPArena
Ermedin Demirovic
5'
Maximilian Mittelstaedt
45' + 7 (P)
Deniz Undav
58'
1'
Aleix Garcia

On May 9, 2026, in Matchday 33 of the Bundesliga, Stuttgart will host Bayer Leverkusen. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Match preview

Stuttgart come into this match after three consecutive draws in all competitions. It started with a draw against Freiburg in the German Cup, then a Bundesliga draw against Werder Bremen, and most recently a 3–3 away draw against Hoffenheim.

They are currently 5th in the Bundesliga and are in a tight race for Champions League qualification. Every point is crucial at this stage of the season.

At home, Stuttgart have been very strong with 11 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. However, they have conceded in four consecutive matches, and their games are usually very open, with both teams scoring in 4 of their last 5 matches. A key trend is their tendency for late drama, with Stuttgart matches producing one of the highest numbers of goals after the 75th minute in the league, which often leads to chaotic scorelines.

Bayer Leverkusen come into this match after a strong 4–1 win over RB Leipzig. They sit 4th in the table and are also fighting for a Champions League spot.

Their matches are very open, with 5 of their last 7 games going over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring in all of those matches. Earlier this season, Stuttgart beat Leverkusen 4–1, which gives additional motivation for the visitors. Leverkusen have also kept just one clean sheet in their last 11 matches, showing clear defensive vulnerability despite their strong attacking output.

Head-to-head history slightly favors Leverkusen, who have 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, with 4 draws and 1 defeat. These matches are usually high-scoring and entertaining, with both teams scoring in 7 of the last 8 encounters and 5 of the last 6 going over 3.5 goals. Overall H2H trend strongly supports high-scoring games, with this fixture consistently producing end-to-end football and multiple goal swings.

Probable Lineups

  • Stuttgart: Nübel, Hendriks, Jaquez, Chabot, Vagnoman, Chema Andres, Stiller, Leweling, El Khannouss, Fuhrich, Undav
  • Bayer Leverkusen: Flekken, Tapsoba, Andrich, Quansah, Grimaldo, Garcia, Palacios, Culbreath, Maza, Tella, Schick

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • In Stuttgart’s last 4 matches, both teams scored.
  • In 3 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 4 matches, both teams scored.
  • 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings have seen over 3.5 goals.
  • In 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings, both teams scored.

Prediction

This is a direct battle for Champions League places, making it one of the most important matches of the round. Stuttgart are strong at home but come into this fixture with a demanding schedule and inconsistent results. Leverkusen are in strong form and have recently dominated key opponents. Head-to-head matches between these sides are consistently high-scoring and open, especially in Stuttgart. Both teams also arrive with clear defensive issues — Stuttgart have conceded in four straight matches, while Leverkusen have managed just one clean sheet in their last 11 games, which significantly increases the likelihood of goals on both sides. Given the importance of the match and the attacking quality of both teams, neither side is expected to play cautiously. Recent form trends further support this, with most of Stuttgart’s games and a large share of Leverkusen’s matches regularly producing BTTS and multiple-goal outcomes, often with late scoring phases adding extra intensity. Recommended bet: Over 3 goals — 1.45

Prediction on game Total over 3
Odds: 1.45
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