St. Pauli vs Union prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 23, 2025
One of the key fixtures of Bundesliga matchday 11 will take place on Sunday at Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, where the local side St. Pauli will host the capital's Union Berlin. I’m offering a bet on the outcome of this clash with solid chances for success.
Match preview
Alexander Blessin's squad continues to spiral into crisis: the defeat to Freiburg marked a seventh consecutive loss for the Hamburgers. On the upside, the team finally managed to score their first goal in five matches — though that wasn’t enough to avoid another setback.
At home, St. Pauli’s form has been equally disappointing, with just one win from their last nine matches on their own turf. Defensive issues are especially evident: the team has now conceded in nine straight games at Millerntor, and matches involving them often provide fans with plenty of goalmouth action.
Union Berlin surprised many in the last round by holding Bayern Munich to a 2-2 draw, showcasing both character and organization. Despite going winless in their last three matches, the team has already scored at least twice in five league games this season.
Union’s away form leaves much to be desired, but their defeats mainly come against the Bundesliga’s heavyweights. With proper focus and tempo, the visitors are capable of taking points from this inconsistent opponent, as they’ve already proven earlier in the campaign.
Probable lineups
- St. Pauli: Vasilj, Mets, Smith, Wahl, Pyrka, Pereira Lage, Sands, Chima Fujita, Oppi, Metcalfe, Cars
- Union: Rønnow, Doekhi, Kverfeldt, Leite, Schäfer, Haberer, Khedira, Kemlein, Rote, Ansah, Behrens
Match facts and head-to-head
- St. Pauli have lost 7 Bundesliga matches in a row.
- Union have scored at least two goals in 5 matches this season.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in St. Pauli’s last 5 home games.
Prediction
Despite having home advantage, St. Pauli do not look poised to end their losing streak. Union, buoyed by their draw with Bayern and a more stable attacking display, have a solid chance to avoid defeat at the very least. My prediction: “Union win or draw” at odds of 1.60.
