St. Pauli — RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 27 January 2026
On January 27, 2026, in Matchday 16 of the Bundesliga, St. Pauli will host RB Leipzig. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:30 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
St. Pauli
St. Pauli come into this match in rather unconvincing form. The team are winless in their last three league matches, suffering defeats to Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, followed by a draw against Hamburger in their most recent outing.
In the Bundesliga, St. Pauli currently sit 17th in the league table with 13 points, having scored 16 goals and conceded 31. Home form remains a major issue, with the team ranked last in the league by this metric. In eight home league matches this season, St. Pauli have recorded two wins, two draws and four defeats.
On a positive note, St. Pauli produced an impressive performance in the DFB-Pokal, defeating Borussia Mönchengladbach to reach the quarter-finals, where they will face Bayer Leverkusen.
When it comes to home head-to-head meetings against Leipzig, St. Pauli have a surprisingly strong recent record. They are unbeaten in their last three home matches against this opponent, recording one draw and two narrow 1–0 victories.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig confidently won 3–0 away at Heidenheim in their most recent match. Prior to that, they suffered a heavy 1–5 defeat to Bayern Munich, while before that they recorded a solid 2–0 victory over Freiburg. Leipzig currently sit fourth in the Bundesliga table with 35 points, trailing league leaders Bayern Munich by 15 points. However, they are only six points behind second-placed Borussia Dortmund.
Leipzig’s away form has been a concern recently. The team have won just once in their last four away matches, also recording two defeats and one draw.
Like their upcoming opponents, Leipzig performed well in the DFB-Pokal, reaching the quarter-finals, where they are set to face Bayern Munich.
Looking at the head-to-head record against St. Pauli, the matchup has been fairly balanced. Across the last seven meetings, both teams have claimed three wins each, along with one draw. Matches between these sides are typically tight and competitive, with five of the last six encounters finishing under 2.5 goals.
Probable Lineups
- St. Pauli: Vasilj, Mets, Ritzka, Wahl, Pyrka, Sands, Smith, Oppie, Lage, Fujita, Baars
- RB Leipzig: Gulacsi, Raum, Bitshiabu, Orban, Baku, Schlager, Baumgartner, Seiwald, Nusa, Romulo, Diomande
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- St. Pauli have failed to win 5 of their last 6 matches.
- 3 of St. Pauli’s last 4 home matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- RB Leipzig have scored first in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- RB Leipzig have won or drawn 3 of last 4 head-to-head meetings.
- 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings have seen under 2.5 goals.
St. Pauli — RB Leipzig Prediction
Both teams come into this match in mixed form. St. Pauli are currently on a four-match winless run in the league but have managed to reach the quarter-finals of the DFB-Pokal. Despite this cup success, they remain in the relegation zone and continue to fight for survival in the Bundesliga. Meanwhile, RB Leipzig are having a generally solid season, but have recently been inconsistent, including a heavy defeat to Bayern Munich. This run of bad luck has dropped them to fourth place in the standings. Head-to-head meetings between these teams are usually very competitive, with no clear historical advantage, as both sides have won the same number of matches. Notably, St. Pauli have been strong at home against Leipzig, remaining unbeaten in their last three home meetings. Matches between these teams are typically tense and low-scoring. Given the importance of points for both teams, a cautious approach, slower tempo, and limited number of goals can be expected in this match. My bet for this match: Total Under 3 goals at odds of 1.57.
