St. Pauli — RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 10 January 2026
On January 10, 2026, in Matchday 16 of the Bundesliga, St. Pauli will host RB Leipzig. The match is scheduled to kick off at 15:30 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.
St. Pauli
St. Pauli approach this match in fairly solid form. The team are unbeaten in their last four consecutive official matches. They have also played a friendly this year, drawing 0–0 against Werder Bremen.
In the Bundesliga, St. Pauli are currently on a three-match unbeaten run, recording two draws and one win. The opposition during this stretch was relatively modest, with draws against Köln and Mainz, and a victory over Heidenheim. At the moment, the team sit in 16th place in the league table with 12 points, having scored 13 goals and conceded 26.
Home form, however, remains a concern. In their last six home league matches, St. Pauli have recorded four defeats, one draw, and only one win.
On the positive side, St. Pauli produced an impressive performance in the DFB-Pokal, defeating Borussia Mönchengladbach to reach the quarter-finals, where they will face Bayer Leverkusen.
When it comes to home head-to-head meetings against Leipzig, St. Pauli have a surprisingly strong recent record. The team are unbeaten in their last three home matches against this opponent, recording one draw and two narrow 1–0 victories.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig ended the previous year with two consecutive defeats, both by the same scoreline. The team first lost 3–1 away to Union Berlin, and then suffered another 3–1 defeat at home against Bayer Leverkusen.
At the moment, Leipzig occupy fourth place in the Bundesliga table and trail league leaders Bayern Munich by 12 points. However, the gap to second-placed Borussia is only three points.
Leipzig’s away form has been a concern recently. The team are winless in their last three away matches, recording two defeats and one draw.
Like their upcoming opponents, Leipzig performed well in the DFB-Pokal, reaching the quarter-finals, where they are set to face Bayern Munich.
Looking at the head-to-head record against St. Pauli, the matchup has been fairly balanced. Across the last seven meetings, both teams have claimed three wins each, with one draw. Matches between these sides are typically tight and competitive, with five of the last six encounters finishing with under 2.5 goals.
Probable Lineups
- St. Pauli: Vasilj, Mets, Smith, Wahl, Pyrka, Sands, Fujita, Ritzka, Irvine, Pereira Lage, Sinani
- RB Leipzig: Vandevoordt, Raum, Lukeba, Orban, Nedeljkovic, Schlager, Baumgartner, Seiwald, Gomis, Harder, Samba Konate
Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- St. Pauli are unbeaten in their last 4 matches.
- In 4 of St. Pauli’s last 5 matches both teams scored.
- In 3 of Leipzig’s last 4 matches both teams scored.
- RB Leipzig have won or drawn 3 of last 4 head-to-head meetings.
- 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings have seen under 2.5 goals.
St. Pauli — RB Leipzig Prediction
The teams ended the previous year in very different moods. St. Pauli are currently on a four-match unbeaten run and have also reached the quarter-finals of the DFB-Pokal, which has boosted confidence around the team. However, despite this positive spell, they remain in the relegation zone and continue their fight for survival in the Bundesliga. RB Leipzig, meanwhile, have enjoyed a fairly solid season overall but closed the year with two consecutive defeats, dropping to fourth place in the league standings. Head-to-head meetings between these sides are usually very competitive, with no clear historical advantage, as both teams have recorded the same number of wins. Notably, St. Pauli have been strong at home against Leipzig, remaining unbeaten in their last three home encounters. Matches between these teams are typically tight and low-scoring. Given that this will be the first official game of the new year and both sides are still adjusting after the winter break, a cautious approach, slower tempo, and a limited number of goals are expected. My bet for this match: Total Under 3 goals at odds of 1.57.
