Slovenia vs Italy: prediction, facts, betting tips and head-to-head – May 25, 2026

Slovenia Slovenia
2026 IIHF World Championship 25 may 2026, 14:20
Fribourg, BCF-Arena
Italy Italy

In a group-stage matchup at the 2026 World Championship, Slovenia will face Italy on Monday, May 25. The game gets underway at 20:20 CET, and here is my betting pick for the contest.

Slovenia vs Italy: match preview

This will be Slovenia’s final game of the 2026 World Championship campaign in the elite division. The team currently have three points and sit in seventh place in the standings. This clash is absolutely crucial in the battle to avoid relegation from the top division. Slovenia opened their campaign with a 3-2 overtime victory over the Czech Republic and later lost to Slovakia in a shootout. This game, however, will be decisive. Slovenia’s current goal difference stands at 8:24.

Italy’s situation is even more difficult, with a goal difference of 2:20, leaving them at minus-18 compared to Slovenia’s minus-16. That means if Italy can win this game — and do so by a solid margin — they will have a chance of staying in the top division. Italy also still have a game against Denmark, which could further improve both their goal difference and their overall position in the standings. It promises to be an intriguing encounter, and in my view, one Italy will be desperate to win.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Slovenia have lost their last five matches.
  • Italy have lost six consecutive games.
  • Italy have conceded at least three goals in six straight matches.
  • Italy have allowed at least three goals in each of their last five games.
  • Italy defeated Slovenia 3-2 in their most recent head-to-head meeting.

Prediction

This is a hugely important game for both teams, and I believe we are in for a tense battle. My pick is Slovenia not to lose this matchup. They have already pushed two strong opponents all the way, and they are capable of producing a similar performance here.

Prediction on game Slovenia wont lose
Odds: 1.45
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